REAL Green does not pencil out

The below referenced article is an important REAL Green topic.  Permaculture is central to REAL Green.  There are a thousand different types both urban and rural.  I can tell you from experience that animals, gardens, orchards, grapes, wood, solar, and hay do not pencil out smaller scale.  Yet, smaller scale is what is needed to reduce our planetary foot print with resulting resilience and sustainability.  When I say resilience and sustainability this is even relative.  Our world is so path dependent, carbon trapped, and delocalized that even those who have the resources and motivation should be aware you can only go so far.  Beyond a point a TRUE Green lifestyle are an expense except for a few who can find a niche.  It takes an investment and then it needs to be subsidized.  FAKE Greens will go on and on about organic eco living.  They will talk about EV’s and solar homes and act like this is all affordable and green.  This is not the case in reality.  The reality the world is dirty and trapped in dirtiness.  It requires funds and things and those come from a dirty world that is concerned with growth.

REAL Green has a solution for those who can.  REAL Green is not for everyone and not meant to be although the basic fundamentals are for everyone and should become part of the greater social narrative.  These basics are about behavior and acceptance of path dependency and our collective carbon trap.  Path dependency is about a global competitive cooperative system of socio/economics that is locked into an arrangement we see right now in the status quo.  We want to do this or that but other forces push back.  The reason for this is competitive cooperation.  We have to accept the will of others to get our will.  We compete to try to push our way over others.  This is then trapped further in a highly productive but also destructive system of economic globalism.  REAL Green acknowledges this and accepts that this is a recipe for a decline process that risks collapse at some point.  Decline now and beat the rush.  Behaviorally this means accept doom and begin a REAL Green prep.

REAL Green prep is about localism with the basics of the old-world ways of harvesting and gathering of carbon energy.  It is about the lowering one’s footprint for one’s local but also the planet.  Since the truth of the matter is the planet is telling us these things the essence of your effort is emulating the truth.  Once you do the Kubler Roth of late stage capitalism and its faith in techno-modernity you then realize a gradient of change is ahead.  This will be overwhelmingly destructive change yet you can be part of the constructive change that is like Green cover over a Brown land.  This acceptance leads you to do two things one is triage and the other is gathering and harvesting.  Triage out bad behavior and lifestyles.  Triage out things you don’t need.  Gather tools, hardware, and material with a future.  Begin situations where you can harvest carbon in the form of food calories and biomass heat.  None of this is revolutionary because it is all out there.  It is proven and just requires a different frame of mind.  The nuts and bolts of REAL Green are readily available.  What turbo changes REAL Green is the behavior side.

REAL Green behavior uses the status quo to leave it in relativity.  You will need to continue to live your status quo life playing the game that is required to survive.  You will need to harness globalism with consumerism and even the delocalizing forces of the car culture.  You do this to leave it though.  This is the critical element that offer much needed meaning.  You are harnessing a powerful force that has huge resource base.  You are cherry picking the best of it and fortifying your local.  You are doing this in a camouflaged way with stealth.  Even with your significant others you may need to hide your true purpose.  You can call it a hobby or just light prepping.  Nobody minds small prepping or hobbies like gardening, animals, and vital skills.  What make people nervous is a full-scale dooming and prepping IOW people can’t handle the Truth.  People do not want their life system upended.  This then means you have a tight rope to walk.  On the one hand you live the status quo and on the other you are dedicating your life to leave it.

Where you are going is into a world with more meaning because you are accepting the fact that life as we know it has no future FAKE Green or Brown.  You are building a lifeboat of skills and things that will help you in an existential crisis.  You are creating a hospice that is a lifestyle of adaptation and mitigation of decline because decline is about pain and suffering.  The decline of affluence means hard times and for some total disenfranchisement even with REAL Green warriors. 

You are going to do things that economically do not add up.  A REAL Green homestead will not pencil out.  You will not be able to live off of it.  You can make it work and it will mean increased resilience to collapse and sustainability once collapse has taken a stair step down.  You will acquire skills and attitudes that will assist you on the way down.  You will then have what it takes to guide others that will go into this process unprepared and rudderless.  REAL Green is about leadership of this process but it is not exposed until it is time.  In the mean time you act FAKE Green and even Brown to fit in.  You harness your existing local to make it more REAL Green.  You harness by using those who are not REAL Green and, in the process, you turn your local a little Greener.  This is not about success but about the management of failure.

 

“How to Solve the Big Problems That Small Family Farms Are Facing”

https://tinyurl.com/y485oj9g     ecowatch

“Under relentless and steadily increasing financial pressures, talented young farmers are giving farming their all for five to 10 years, then quitting. Experienced farmers, including organic farmers, are admitting defeat, selling what they can and finding “real” jobs. The prices farmers receive for crops do not cover all the costs of keeping farms viable, not to mention the extra costs of ecological or regenerative farming systems. The farm crisis is not over.”

The REAL Green Monk and Shaman

In REAL Green Deep Adaptation, a monastery is called for in its ascending levels of adaptation.  In the beginning there is the Kubler Roth of acceptance.  REAL Green starts with behavior because it is behavior where wisdom originates.  In the beginning there is the acceptance of decline and collapse.  Wisdom is needed to first accept the decline process that will mean the end of life as we know it.  This wisdom embraces the forces that guides ones conversion to REAL Green way of life.  The wisdom that develops from REAL Green way is accepting and humble and through this the power of the planet is channeled.  The acceptance is with planetary decline and the humility comes from the power this meaning will instill in you over those who are sheeples in the status quo.  As a shaman and a monk your meaning must not be used for personal gain or it is lost.  This ultimately manifests itself in shamanism and the Benedictine monastery but relatively in your local and your significant others.  The relativity is living in a status quo and using that status quo to leave it.  The shamanism comes from the connection and harnessing of nature.   The Benedictine Monastery is the local that is the accumulation of low carbon living that builds a local and a place for rebirth.  This then is human but also planetary.  Taoism is also present with yielding and the letting go into the way. 

REAL Green is not a religion nor a cult.  REAL Green is an add on to your higher power and local.  Shamanism, Benedictine, and Taoism are only for illustration.  Your local and your higher power are uniquely yours.  This is about the individual reaching out to your place and your people but it starts with individual conversion.  It is a spiritual way that embraces the best of comparative religion but also science and human sciences.  Real Green is about hybridization of the old ways with the new.  Take the well proven low carbon old ways and enhance them with modern knowledge.  Triage out lifestyles and things with no future.  Build up a place with the basics of a library both digital and paper.  Have a tool shed with tools, hardware, and backup supplies for a journey into low carbon and low planetary footprint living.  This is a local way of life which means living, eating, and traveling local but relatively because the status quo of family and career will force you out of your local.  REAL Green is about low carbon farming and gathering.  The farming is permaculture that attempts to integrate the modern with the old ways of farming within the planetary cycles.  These are the nutrient cycle, hydrologic cycle and the carbon cycle.  It involves animals, plants, and humans but also machines because this is the Anthropocene.  If you can do this without machines then do it but most can’t anymore.  It may only be a garden or aquaculture but REAL Green must have a connection to land or water to connect to planetary forces. 

The two keys to REAL Green are local and relativity.  First find a local with a future.  If your local has no future in the decline process then prepare for a future that may mean being a migrant.  As a potential migrant be aware of where you can go and how.  If your local has a future build on it relatively.  You have a local that is you, your place, and your significant others.  Leverage the powerful system we know today in consumerism and digital knowledge sources to find ways to leave it.  While you do this, you build up your local with restorative actions.  This means healing people and nature.  You do this with the understanding you are carbon trapped and path dependent in the status quo.  There is no transcendence of the Anthropocene but there is the chance to mitigate and adapt it through life boats and hospice strategies.  The life boat is the basics of GREEN prepping and the hospice is the behavior that comes with embracing the decline process that is a paradigm of decline that is self-organizing and planetary.  You realize that ultimately if society collapses then your local will be challenged with the collapse.  You accept this condition of being exposed and helpless and this may be your end too but you have found the meaning and the source of strength to face this. 

You have to walk a tight rope between this REAL Green way and the status quo of endless growth and techno optimism.  You shed guilt because guilt will hamper your ability to walk this tight rope that involves a focus on your local but also your status quo position.  To be effective you cannot turn your back on your career and family but you can affect them with change.  You can be a force of change through stealth resistance.  You will have to do things that are not GREEN but you will do these things to get GREENer.  Embracing the low carbon ways of the past with simple tools and local living will not pencil out economically so it will have to be a hobby if you can afford that.  Hobby farms, gardens, and skills sets are everywhere and people do them because they have talents.  Find a few things you are great at and do them but REAL Green means also knowing the basics of many things our ancestors knew to enhance resilience and sustainability of the local.  If you have the money, time, and awakened knowledge then become a REAL Green Shaman and Benedictine/Taoist monk complete with a monastery farm. 

I only used those examples to illustrate not to promote.  You may be on the ocean in a sail boat and in that case your REAL Green will be adapted differently.  As an add on then your REAL Green will fit your higher power.  This add on means connecting to the planet and your local with basics of REAL Green wisdom.  Also realize that REAL Green is not for everyone.  Very few can walk this path.  It is somewhat like being a Jedi warrior that embraces the force.  A REAL Green monk must be awakened and to be awakened means a spiritual experience of seeing the planetary process of decline.  Seeing this process, you build upon the rebirth.  This rebirth is the ultimate of the REAL Green monastery because you will have accumulated knowledge and things for those who come after you to function as the seeds and the soil of new life.  Planetary connection is the Key both of material and spiritual.  Collapse may come quick or be a stairstep process over time.  It may be a process that spares your local for a period and others are ended sooner but collapse will come.  This is why choosing your local is so important if you can.  If cannot then accepting all locals are at risk yours maybe more than others.  There are no refuges from the coming storm.  Honest science and REAL Green instinct will guide you to the right place whether you become a monastery, a pilgrim, or at some later time a migrant.  This is a journey not a destination because life is in flux and all will eventually be washed away.  Realgreenadaptation.blog

Acending Levels of Greeness

I am blessed to have been awakened to the honest science years back.  In 2000 I started dooming  and in 2005 I started prepping.  The minute you  see doom and prep you pass judgment on me as a nutter and yes at some points I was a nutter but I have matured into something else that is worth at least a look.  It has been a tough journey because the status quo narrative is so difficult to decouple from.  There is the FAKE Green narrative that sees technology as the answer with green tech.  Green tech is part of the solution but will not save us IMO.  There is also the FAKE Green position that degrowth is the answer.  I believe degrowth is the answer to a degree but where Degrowthers fail is with the consequences.  Degrowthers  do not understand systematic decay in an economics of decline so degrowth means collapse if taken to extremes.  I am not mentioning the status quo or naked market-based capitalism that says all will be well with growth and tech.  This is what got us here. 

My position is REAL Green.  The REAL is more like get real or be realistic.  It does not mean TRUE Green that a subsistent human in the right location practices that which is in touch with the planetary cycles of life.  There really are very few TRUE Greens because many of these TRUE Greens would seek more affluence if they could.  Few are awakened to reality and subsistent with best practices of planetary harmony.  Market based capitalism is a seductress and humans have a weakness for more affluence.  REAL Green accepts this human nature and tries to harness it.  REAL Green says the first order of business is the collapse process of civilization.  It then involves acknowledging the process of succession with the planetary system and web of life because of humans activity.  We are in a collapse process plain and simple.  The honest science tells us this.  REAL Green says the beginning of GREEN action is with this Kubler Roth acknowledgement.  It is only with the acceptance of human failure and its consequences that true GREEN action can spring forth. 

FAKE Green action is good but it also represents malinvestment of resources because many policies are green efforts to maintain the status quo.  EV’s are touted as green when the car culture is one of the main reasons for our failure.  A green grid is another.  Electricity is a vital element of modernity but let’s not forget it is modernity itself that is killing us also.  More complexity from complicated green actions is just more of the same of dirty footprints.  IOW, making things more modern is just a hole digging exercise.  REAL Green says the key is first with behavior of failure.  The second is going forth in localism.  Behavior and localism are the key because it takes behavior changes to allow realistic localism.  REAL Green is realistic and uses relativism to navigate the path between localism and globalism.  All locals have been delocalized by globalism.  Most people live status quo lives dependent on globalism for survival.  This means if you want to go local in REAL Green you will need to do it relatively by using the status quo of globalism to leave it.  If is a bit like judo that uses the opponents moves against him. 

This is both mental and physical.  Mentally your community and significant others may not care about green so if you do you have to adapt to that disconnect.  This means the range of footprint change is limited.  Physically your footprint change is limited by economics and accepted practices of your local.  A front yard garden might not fly in certain locals.  REAL Green says adapt to your local and coopt it based upon your limitations.  First REAL Green says determine your local and this means physical and mental.  If your local has a poor future based upon the collapse process then move out if you can.  If you can’t then your strategies may be limited to the basics of survival for a local that has no future.  This may mean have tools for a bug out.  You may become a migrant or refugee at some point.  This also means the people you are around.  Some people and communities are have no future.  Find a new community if you can and if not make the best of what you have. 

Once REAL Green has determined its local then build upon it.  This means triage out the deadwood.  It means a hybridization of the old ways with the new.  The reason the old ways are looked to is proper scaling was once normal.  The old ways were generally local or low energy.  Take the best practices, tools, and material of the modern and turbo charge the old ways.  This is an ascending level of enlightened greenness.  What this means is you do what you can per your limitations.  The top is a monastery of GREEN.  Few can get to a monastery because of income constraints or the nature of their local.  Build a place with the seeds for a new life that is inevitable with a world and a civilization in decline.  This is done in green humility.   The power the planet will bequeath to you the truth because you are following the “way”.  This cannot be taken and used for personal gain or this power is lost.  So, in effect you are a monk and a shaman.  This is not a cult or religion it is an addon to your current higher power and local.  This makes it extremely personal and location based.  The keys are simple but the application is where complexity and complicated practices evolve personally and locally.  I am covering my experiences and my monastery in my realgreenadaptation.blog.  I am not a writer so this is just an effort to explain my life as best I can for the benefit of others.

REAL Green Doom & Prep

The key question none of us can answer is how fast and how hard will the decline be.  That is the key question because this introduces the scientific method into the equation.  Rationality in this case is respect for the unknown.  The other aspect to this gradient of collapse is stair stepping and “locality” There may be a period of severe crisis that has locality then a stabilization.  In the case of a stairstep this will continue with again the unknown of what is the next step except that it is likely the further a local gets down the gradient in tact the more stable the local.  If your local survives the first step you will likely be closer to sustainability with hard fought resilience.  When I say local, I mean your immediate life, community, and significant others. 

Systems science will tell you that systems tend toward stasis.  Perturbations will knock a system that is unstable towards stability.  The reason I mention this is humans are no different than other ecosystems that undergo succession from being at thresholds of instability.  Modern man is due for succession because we are clearly in overshoot with population levels and consumption.  The key identifier for species survival has always been the degree and duration of a perturbation event.  There is no doubt we have some bad events coming.  Will they be widespread, regional or primarily dispersed failures of locality?  In my opinion due to the degree of overshoot that is really global this will be all of the above with a complexity of consequences. 

We can use science to pinpoint where populations are most vulnerable but there is the element of randomness and nonlinearity that is found in the science of chaos.  You know the flap of a butterfly causes a hurricane thing.  My point is this defaulting as so many doomers do to mad max is a poor doom strategy.  It is similar to the mistakes gamblers and investors make.  These are well known errors of behavior.  In my opinion as a doomer now for 20 years and a dedicated prepper for 15 a strategy that minimizes poor doom behavior is essential as well as realistic behavior of the consequences. 

My recommendations are first a detailed evaluation of your local this means more than place it means the abstract parts of it like relationships and activity.  If your local is significantly unstable get out.  If you are stuck then prep according to the condition of your local.  A local that will likely fail needs a strategy of bug-out.  One that is more stable and defendable needs defense.  All need a degree of offense and defense as well as diplomacy.  The best strategy for all situations is decline in place beating the rush.  Clear out the deadwood and utilize strategies of salvage, hybridization, and spartan living.  Do it now or at least mentally go over the steps. 

This doom and prep are significantly mental with behavior and attitudes.  A marine with a level action 30 will beat an inexperienced person with an AR most of the time.  This is because of training and morale.  Yet, the best soldiers also need good provisions.  This dooming and prepping have degrees of attainment to.  I have gone through the steps.  I have experienced failures with learning curves.  I have experienced attitudes of others who think I am a nutter.  To be fair in my earlier days I was at times radical about this process.  Most of all I have faced “time” which is making an effort at something that does not happen.  Time in some ways is the hardest test because it goes to the core of your effort with cognitive dissonance and opportunity cost of a different life. 

I am now at the level of a shaman and monk with a monastery.  Now, this does not make me better than another just getting started.  There are others out there smarter and more prepared than me.  What I mean in my own little world this is where I am at.  The key to a good doom and prep is to maximize localism and avoid comparisons to others.  Localism is a very diverse subject keep that in mind so you don’t fall into the pitfall of bad prep because you are keeping up with the Jones.  The point of doom and prep is resilience and sustainability of YOUR local.  You can be the best prepared and dumb or smart luck passes you by in failure so accepting failure is at the top of the list.  In fact starting from failure is the best start point.  It will give you necessary humility of moderation and realism.

My opinion of my efforts and my monastery is it is only as good as my local community longer term.  Shorter term I do have the mentality, skills, and the provisions to ride out many SHTF storms.  I feel this is important because it is the first part of the crisis when decisions have the greatest impact.  Right before the worst is when you need to be optimally positioned mentally and physically.  My conclusion is be careful of poor doom behavior that leads to malinvested prep.  Have a good attitude that you might not make it because of the basic principles of randomness and nonlinearity.  I am now to the point of a doomstead that is really just a homestead of old but leveraged with the best practices and material of our modern time.  I am using the status quo to leave it and taking good knowledge and material with me.  I am trying to go 18-19 century.  I am living with the local sheeples who are indoctrinated into the status quo narrative.  You have to be careful with the sheeples because you need to keep your distance but you also need them.  I try to stay below the radar screen yielding to greater forces.  Pick your battles and practice flexible retreat.  Ideally make this whole process a hobby and or way of life.  Have a passion for it.  I feel it represents the truth so it is also giving me meaning. �����h

My Home Energy System

I have a 48-volt system with inverter that has 8 Trojan gel batteries.  I have 12 x 300-watt Hanwha panels on pole mounts.  I have all circuits in my breaker boxed switched for grid or solar.  I do demand management during the day maximizing my solar gathering.  I do not use the system at night.  I then have maximum battery power available if grid goes down.  I also lower battery cycling for longer life.  I intend to upgrade lead/gel trojans in the future moving these to my barn that is also solar with older watered batteries.  I am looking at lithium iron phosphate batteries that look promising.  I am on the fence because batteries are changing so fast so still watching.  I also have a throw switch at my transformer so I can run hose on a 50amp generator/welder.  This is on wheels so I can move it around the farm as needed. 

Also, part of my system is a Heatmaster wood gasifier.  I also have a Daikin split HVAC unit.  This Daikin heats and cools.  I have several low wattage (500 watts) ceramic heaters in the house.  This allows me to heat and cool with my solar if there is excess power available.  My wood boiler can be run with solar.  In the summer I have my wood boiler tank heated with evacuated solar tubes instead of using wood.  The solar water heating system disassembles and is put away for the winter when I switch to wood.  This wood boiler system has forced air and water to air heat exchangers.  These different sources of heat are all manually switch by simple values.  Potable water is warmed to an electric water heater through a heat exchanger.  The water heater is valved so I can take it out of the loop if grid power goes down.  Most of the time my boiler using wood or solar that preheats the water heater.  My well can be run off the solar system.  It takes lots of power so if I am using the solar to run the well I have all other circuits switched off at transfer switches.  I have an oversized pressure tank that I can then fill and use as needed.  I can switch off the well once pressure tank is full strength then power up my wood boiler to heat water if needed for shower or washing.    I also have a conventional woodstove insert in my fireplace as final backup and which I mostly use on very cold days.

They key to this system is its hybrid nature with multiple energy nodes for flexibility.  The other key is the system is a power collection system with wood biomass and solar but it is also a survival tool with grid down situations.  I use the grid as needed for economic reasons.  Grid power is the cheapest form of power at the moment.  That could change but currently when I consider sunk cost of equipment and labor then just using electric is cheapest.  Electric is also convenient and vital in bad weather when solar is not producing.  It is my hope the grid becomes more renewable based as is happening but slowly.  The real value from my system comes in flexibility and resilience with grid down situations.  I fully use wood and solar to help pay off the initial cost of the system so this is a matter of economics also.  I am a Green who believes renewables and locally sourced biomass is good for lower my planetary footprint.  My house is a split-level brick home with the best insulation I could get.  This was a combination of open cell and closed cell foam.  The windows were the best I could get triple pane Pella’s.  There are lots of windows so if grid goes down in the summer, I have plenty of ventilation. 

This total system is holistic with active demand management.  It is meant for someone who works from home.  In my case I am a permaculture farmer raising cattle and goats on a multispecies management intensive grazing system.  I make my own hay.  I also have a garden, orchard, and grapes.  There are 400 acres dedicated to wildlife that is abundant and would be available in a collapse situation.  I have multiple water sources for water both potable water and irrigating garden and animals.  This system is expensive but less expensive than a system that attempts to go completely off the grid.  Some applications demand off the grid strategies because of cost of getting to the grid.  My thinking is the grid is an asset utilize it as needed.

REAL Green Macro to the Micro

I have highlighted two different versions of the left’s eco-solutions.  One is the ecomodernism and the other the degrowth movement.  They both claim success as the end game.  REAL Green claims they are both FAKE Green and the reason is the basis of their argument is faulty behavior of being the solution.  REAL Green says failure is the prerequisite of going forth into lifeboat and hospices.  Life boats and hospices are just a catchy term for mitigation and adaptation to the collapse process.  REAL Green says this is the case because honest science says we are in a carbon trap and path dependent in a late stage capitalism.  Path dependency is also present in the competitive cooperative nature of global governance.  Global governance may give lip service to planetary problems but its real driving force is self-preservation individually.  The degree that all sides recognize planetary problems is directly contingent on survivability individually.  This survivability in the path dependence of late stage capitalism is staying economically competitive along with military competitiveness.  This then becomes another path dependency trap that is systematic.  Globalism itself is a trap that includes the carbon trap and the global governance trap of competitive cooperation. 

REAL Green is about acceptance of these traps as existential and beyond transcendence.  This means the only alternatives from the red Left for the obvious failures of capitalism is ecomodernism and a degrowth based socialism that are themselves failures.  REAL Green says starting from the acceptance of failure we move forward with Capitalism, ecomodernism, and degrowth through a timeline of constructive and destructive change.  The destructive change comes from the triage of poor lifestyles and draconian reductions in consumerism staged and staggered.  This then becomes a distilling out the critical elements of capitalism that is present in globalism that produces so much wealth efficiently in the beginning to prepare for the departure.  Comparative advantage, free movement of capital and knowledge, global movement of components and end products, just in time assembly and transport to end use is itself a resource that must be protected in the beginning of the step down of late stage global capitalism to a degrowthed world.  Ecomodernism comes in with the adoption of knowledge, tools, equipment and systems to degrowth with best practices and best hardware.  Renewables, conservation practices, and efficiency strategies come to mind.  Yet, understanding the diminishing returns found in the equation of cost benefit.  Degrowth comes in primarily on the behavioral side with strategies for people to live with less things but more spiritual satisfaction.  Degrowth is the basis because that is what collapse means fundamentally but this degrowth will be proactive and intelligent. 

This whole effort will recognize that the fundamental effects of degrowth will be the introduction of chaos into the equation so there will have to be a resilience to economic abandonment, irrational policy and behavior, and dysfunctional networks.  This means there must be a preparation, departure and journey with failure the ultimate result.  The failure is calculated and adapted to in stepping down behavior.   It is understood and goal based that these failures offer a rebirth.  These will likely be more like a series of rebirths where systematic leveling off of decline occurs with further bifurcations.  How long these declines with hopeful leveling occur  is then the  journey.  The journey is in reality uncharted and can only be theoretical. 

This degrowth process could begin by taking the enormous power of late stage capitalism to power a return to the land of seeds of the rebirth.  This will require a two-tier society of rural back to the land with urban productive elements supplying the necessary resources for this transition.  These back to the land people will have to be given basics rights to education, health, and security so they are not consumed by the competitive forces of capitalism.  These back to the land people will live with seasonality, intermittency, and frugal living.  Much of their enjoyment will be social based with a dramatic decline in modern consumerism.  They will live spartan lives dedicated to permaculture and localism.  The best equipment including renewables would be employed in a spartan and frugal way to allow sustainability and resilience.  This deployment of sustainable locals would be much like the outfitting of fantasy exploration parties to Mars.  This means a social narrative of the critical nature of this project to everyone’s wellbeing.  The upper tier would be like the bees in the hive that produce next year’s brood.  This will mean integrating into planetary cycles of low carbon capture with plants and animals.  During this time industrial agriculture will be reduced in a step down with critical food sources maintained and consumeristic industrial food phased out.  There is no substitute for global monocultures with industrial practices in the beginning.  Food security is vital to the departure.  Once departed then this toxic industrial system can be left to wither and die.

Socialism will be the gate keeper for this decline.  Socialistic principals will have to be used to control this process.  Socialism as used today is a failure because it is just another wealth and power transfer device little different from capitalism.   A new socialism that  is a method of change not an end game to governance must be employed.  The key to this is the wisdom that chooses what technology and consumption is allowed.  The wisdom also recognized path dependency trap and the carbon trap have consequences of pain, suffering, and death.  There will be winners and loser and no way to get around the failure of fairness.  The reality is most everyone will lose something some more than others.  Places will have to be depopulated and industries abandoned.  This will lower production of needed resources and will force hardship on whole classes and segments of the global civilization.  This effort would have to be global or it could not make the preparations for the departure and handle the consequences during the journey.  This is an open door to no return.  Once departed it proceeds into a calculated and prepped for failure of all that comes before it.  It would rely on the principals in nature of succession with extinction with evolution being involved in a rebirth.  It would also be understood that extinction may be the result but this is about a journey not the end.  Nature will decide not man.

This REAL Green global vision is of course a very broad outline of the principals of the path forward in a world of rational behavior engaged in critical wisdom.  This is of course nothing but fiction because man is not completely rational.  Man is on overshoot teetering near thresholds of failure everywhere.  Our footprint is entirely too large with governance, population, and footprints.  REAL Green presented what might work in an alternative world to demonstrate what can work for small communities and with the individual.  When we take the REAL Green solution to the micro, we need to include hybridization and relativity.  This hybridization means utilizing the modern status quo to leave it into the best practices of the old ways augmented and refined by the modern.  This must be done relatively based upon the position of the local in the delocalized greater community.  This means the exiting community and significant others that are locked into the status quo must be adapted to as one attempts to negotiate a departure from a way of life with no future.  This means walking a tight rope.  A persona or a small community will still have to make a living in the status quo. Since all locals are delocalized by globalization products and services will still be needed.  This will put pressure on sustainability and resilience that the REAL Green efforts seeks. 

There is no escape from failure with REAL Green.  This is the prerequisite of honesty and acceptance REAL Green starts with and plans for.  REAL Green is about succession with loss but seeking rebirth.  REAL Green is a green prepping and dooming strategy that is an addon to one’s local and community.  Its primary purpose are ways to give longevity to ones local and significant interpersonal relationships.  REAL Green does this by going local and embracing nature as our ancestors did but taking the best of what modernity has to offer to complement and enhance it.  This is a type of salvage also because so much has been destroyed in the mad rush to modernity.  Both location and lifestyles then become a salvage effort of picking through the clutter to find the best practices and material for the journey into the collapse process.  This means triage or the principals of removing deadwood.  This means downsizing with dignity beating the rush that everyone will be forced into. The dignity comes from meaning that one will find in the preparation, departure, and the journey.  Dignity comes from finding the basics in a greatly reduced life that offer satisfaction and comfort.  This also involves empathy and strategies of compassion because as the status quo deteriorates and fails many will be exposes to hardships and premature death. 

REAL Green is for everyone because the basics are applicable to all.  Advanced REAL Green goes into a kind of eclectic combination of specialization with what one does the best with a backbone of multiple basic skills that is required for a degree of self-sufficing.  In other words one must be good at many things with a few specializations.  REAL Green demands physical fitness and mental conditioning.  One must eliminate poor lifestyles and habits that will distract from this endeavor.  So REAL Green in a sense is a way of life within a way of life.  It becomes in a sense a hobby because the status quo denies many resilient and sustainable activities due to economic comparative advantage.  It is cheaper to get food at Walmart and hardware at Lowes than to do things locally.  Fossil fuels are economic and animal power not as examples.  REAL Green starts with the idea that at some point this will change but currently it is not the case.  Advanced REAL Green then goes to its highest level as a monastery of knowledge and hardware for the journey into the collapse process but also a storehouse of seeds of a rebirth for those who come afterwards.  That is if it is the case that your REAL Green local can be reborn.  It is likely the collapse process will involve a stair step down with thresholds broke into new stasis. 

REAL Green acknowledges all this is relative to the individual, community, and region one is in.  This means REAL Green starts out by determining the potential of ones local and if it has no future then REAL Green determines if it can leave.  If you can then you emigrate while you can to a local that can offer a future.  In effect you become a pilgrim journeying into an unknown land.  This may be location based or career based because the journey is really both of the material and the mental.  REAL Green never takes its eye off of failure and acceptance as the prerequisite.  You may construct a doomstead but that may not save you.  So, if you get to the point of a REAL Green monastery with robust sustainability and resilience you then infect your local as best you can with best practices and wisdom.  This is done because ultimately all REAL Green monasteries rely on community for survival.  REAL Green realizes this thinking must be done subtly and camouflage with status quo ways or you will be disregarded as a nutter.  This means both asymmetric and symmetric strategies.  Since very few have the knowledge and resource to do this it is recognized by REAL Green that you are special but also empowered to be a provider.  REAL Green power comes not from the individual but from nature and the local.  REAL Green is supported by the planet because REAL Green embraces the planet first by adding on those principals of nature as the beacon for the journey.

“Why De growth is Essential: A Rejection of Left Ecomodernists Phillips, Sharzer, Bastini, and Parenti.”

https://tinyurl.com/y5mk7pac     resilience

“The Ecomodernists recognize the seriousness of the global ecological situation, but they argue that the way to solve it is to crank up technical advance and economic growth to enable the building of a vast quantity of resource-intensive devices that will deal with the problems. These are to include nuclear energy, high rise greenhouses, water desalination. Humans will all move into cities allowing nature to regenerate, agriculture will go into those greenhouses, and the Third World will be liberated from poverty. Thus they scorn the De growth movement seeing it as unnecessary, guaranteeing misery for all, and indeed actually ensuring the end of human progress.  By contrast, the recently-emerged De growth movement advances the basic, fifty year old, ”limits to growth” case which has now accumulated a huge supporting literature. Its core point is that there is too much production and consumption going on, that this is the main cause of global problems, that eventually we must have stable or zero-growth economies, and that GDP must be reduced… This is a debate between those who believe that “tech-fixes” can solve the problems without radical change from a system committed to affluence and growth, and those who argue that only radical change to a very different, post consumer-capitalist society can solve the big problems…The core issue here is whether economic growth can be “decoupled” from resource and ecological costs and impacts. That is, can the amount of production, sales and GDP go on increasing while resources availability and ecological damage are kept below unsustainable levels…virtually all of a now huge literature says it can’t… Obviously to deal with this the decoupling would have massive; the Ecomodernists would have to show that by 2050 the resource and environmental impact from the generation of $1 of GDP could be reduced to one-thirtieth of what it is today, even though over past decades no reduction has been achieved. They make no attempt to show that this is possible; their case consists of faith claims about what future technology could do, supported only by pointing to some cases where mostly very small absolute reductions have been achieved. The above arithmetic yields the basic claim underlying the Simpler Way perspective; i.e., that the major global problems now threatening our existence cannot be solved unless we undertake enormous reductions in production, resource use and consumption. This can only be done by transition to mostly local communities which are small, cooperative, highly self-sufficient, driven by needs not market forces …. and by willing acceptance of very frugal lifestyles and systems. This involves scrapping the present taken-for-granted conception of “development” defined in terms of ever-increasing globalisation, complexity, capital-dependence, technical sophistication, and monetary “wealth”. Above all it involves happy acceptance of materially simple lifestyles and systems.”

 “This alternative vision does not involve hardship or deprivation; in fact it would be a liberation to a much higher quality of life for all.  And it does not threaten universities, modern hospitals, high tech R and D or “progress”. It is about ways which provide all that is needed for delightful relaxed, secure, creative, cooperative, peaceful lives via very low resource and environmental costs.  (For the detail see TSW: The Alternative Society.)  The key to these achievements lies in the small scale, proximity and integration of the new economies. A recent study of egg supply illustrates this powerfully. The industrial supermarket supply chain involves vast amounts of transport, agribusiness, chemicals, soil damage, steel, computers, petroleum, electricity , packaging, advertising, and waste, especially wasted nutrients. The village cooperative supply path eliminates almost all of these, e.g., because “wastes” can go straight to gardens, methane digesters and fish ponds. The study found that the dollar and energy costs of an egg delivered by the former path is around 50 to 200 times that by the second  path.  Our limits to growth predicament show that the main goal is not getting rid of capitalism, essential though that is. The goal must be to get those resource and ecological impacts right down. If the eco-socialists only got rid of capitalism but continued to pursue affluence and growth, we would have a more just society…still heading for ecological collapse… They assume that welfare can’t be increased unless there is increase in production of stuff being bought, thus unless there is increase in GDP.  (This is the fundamental vicious error built into conventional development theory and practice; poor countries cannot “develop” unless they enable investors to take out their resources cheaply and thus grow the GDP. See TSW: Third World Development.) This is patently ridiculous. Apart from the medical domain, the factors that would most enable a higher quality of life for most rich world people have nothing to do with monetary wealth or property; they are things like having good family and friends, supportive community, security from unemployment, closeness to nature, socially valued work, and peace of mind. These are easily and automatically provided in a poor Third World village or in an Eco-village, as are the basic simple food producing, housing, water, and energy etc. systems enabling very frugal but perfectly sufficient material living standards.”

REAL Green Energy

I have repeatedly covered this topic in REAL Green.  A carbon neutral world by 2050 is a complete pipe dream.  It is more than that it is a dangerous way of misleading people into believing they can have their cake and eat it.  This means people think we can continue to live as we do and even progress technologically and go carbon neutral.  This is what I call FAKE Green.  This is the platform extremist liberals are pushing.  This along with socialism is going to solve our problems.  What a joke that is, a pipe dream of industrial build out to be carbon neutral and it will all be paid for by wealth transfer and money printing.  Where do extremist liberals get educated?  This is a position many in the best of academia and the scientific community are embracing.  This FAKE Green position is science denial almost as bad as science denying conservatives take.  Both sides are a joke.  One side just disregards the science or deny it.  One side embraces the science and then denies the reality of the solutions.

Very few are REAL Green.  REAL Green says acknowledges failure as the starting point.  The very beginning of the science, behavior, and the consequences is failure.  The Kübler-Ross stages then kick in for those who have been deceived either by disregard, science denial and or solutions/consequences denial.  This pretty much covers most of the human population.  Doomers and preppers are considered fringe.  Does that give you an idea of just how bad it is going to get at some point when holistic results of net energy depletion strike?  This net energy decline will be from declining net energy of fossil fuels that meets the physically impossible task of energy transition to renewables while maintaining the growth paradigm?  This is the nature of the carbon trap and path dependency.  We have the physical trap and the behavioral trap.  REAL Green says this means failure is assured.  REAL Green has solutions for this macro condition that will never be embraced but should be considered to understand the best it can get.

REAL Green solutions are a hybrid world with lots of triage, salvage, and relocalization.  The cost is still staggering but the difference is behavior starts from failure and proceeds to life boats and hospices.  Life boats and hospices is another description of degrowth, mitigation, and adaptation.  This will involve economic abandonment and that means dysfunctional networks and irrational policy will be inevitable even with the best of intentions.  This is because we will have to embrace the chaos of decline that is often swift and unpredictable.  We will need to accept pain, suffering and death that declining affluence will ensure.  This means a mammoth educational effort would be needed to prepare a mass of dellusionals people smart and challenged for an equivalent of an asteroid of damage to this late stage civilization.

The way REAL Green would approach this is first the behavior would be embraced.  We then would have a hybrid world of new and old ways.  Deadwood would be cleared out to make room for a new way.  This would also be a hybrid of capitalism with socialism as the gate keeper.  In fact, we might have to get even more authoritarian but since this is REAL Green fantasy for demonstration anyway let’s keep it to enlightened tough love socialism.  The reason you still need capitalism is the productive elements of the global economy of just-in-time, free capital/knowledge flows, comparative advantage specialization, and global transport would be needed to produce the tools to go back to the old ways and maintain the sinking ship.  The best of the new ways with all that knowledge must be maintained.  The Infrastructure fabric that keeps all of us fed, warm, and productive is in place an cannot be discarded without great loss and or cascading failure.

REAL Green is about managed failure or in medical terms terminal illness maintenance.  Triage of the worst of the current system with consumerism and modern high energy leisure being eliminated as an example of draconian moves.  Population would be managed in a draconian way.  A two-tier society of a greatly reduced core that controls, manufactures, and delivers tools for a relocalization of most of the rest is a must.  This means people would be taken back to the land and made to again inhabit it in seasonality, intermittency, and low net energy living.  This means back to animals, small farms, and biomass collection revolving around the natural planetary carbon, nitrogen, and hydrological cycles. Unfortunately, this now must occur on a planet in decline and localized failure of a succession process of extinction and pollution.  For those who can manage it would be permaculture and knowledge driven.  For those who can’t it is subsistence living on the margins.  Ideally REAL Greens says the upper tier of the status quo would protect and support these nodes of return for reasons of survival.  The upper tier would understand it is going down and it will want a place to go.  The collapse process requires that seeds of rebirth must be planted and nurtured and the top tier living in the status quo has this as its primary function.  This relocalization then would be the upper tiers main focus of effort and policy.

The best of the old ways would be combined with the new knowledge and technology to make again inhabiting locals in low energy living more bearable.  This means renewables “lite”.  It means maintaining some basics of lighting, food preservation, and climate control.  It means a new education revolving around relocalization into food production, animal husbandry, and home economics.  These things were once part of the normal fabric and now they would have to be rebirthed in a massive education effort.  The upper tier would begin a decommissioning process.  Here salvage strategies would be employed to save those items with high embedded potential for use in a post collapse world.  Valuable resources collected to be used later.  Many industries and ways of life would be shuttered immediately and others maintained as long as possible.  In the military this is called a managed retreat.  All this would have to proceed in as slow and deliberate of a pace as can be managed that pushes the edge of the systematic conditions as long as possible.  The survival of any system is dependent on the degree and duration of the impulse of change.  This means we would have to understand at some point the system even with managed degrowth, deliberate adaptation of the fabric of civilization and the reprograming of human behavior will surely fail.  So, what we would do is open a door of no return into managed collapse with life boats with every one understanding pain suffering and death is ahead.  That is the hospice part.

Of course, this is a REAL Green vision of the impossible for the world but not for the individual and the local.  This is where the above can work.  When I say work, I mean until civilization collapses in from above but you will have beaten the rush to hopefully be ahead of the curve.  You will have taken the ingredients of mitigation and adaptation and through the use of the status quo built up the equivalent of a modern-day monastery of preparation.  You will have done the Kubler Roth with adapted behavior and attitudes of survival.  Denial of death can then be negotiated.  Few can face death daily but many can face the acceptance of it in regards to one’s overall situation similar to terminal illness.  You will of course face collapse like everyone else but you will have in place tools and strategies to negotiate the day to day of collapse.  We have no idea how things are going to come apart.  We do know there are now locations that will come apart quickly and others will have reliance.  Science and intuition tell us this.  If possible, get out of these places.  There will be nothing worse than being caught up in forced migrations.  Of course, those places that do have good strategies will be where these migrants go so part of your strategy must include negotiating hostile and more likely needy people.  You will have to have security strategies and procedures in place.  You will also need to be able to help some but not all.  Most people will have to be denied help.  A good strategy is taking in those with skills and resources and tell the rest to head down the road.  The hostile ones you may have to fight and you may lose.

REAL Green start with the understanding of failure and realizes these are the best of days now and it will only get worse so you begin a deliberate and focused effort to change now.  Yet, you do this in a relative way so you do not fail in the status quo that is providing the means to change.  You leverage the status quo with localism.  You will have to maintain your status quo living as you try to leave delocalization of the failing global system.  You will likely at some point do this in increasing pain, suffering and death.  A situation of increasing deprivations is assured to you think about this daily in preparation.  A good strategy is fasting to feel hunger as an example.  You will try to get ahead of the collapse process intelligently.  Of course, the degrees of adaptation will have to be relative in context of family, friends, and community who may still be in denial and disregard to this systematic process of failure.  This means your efforts will be hampered by external forces of irrationality and denial of change by social convention.  Very few will have the ingredients to make a bold transition.  For most the best that can be done is behavioral changes and the husbandry of basics.  Most have the money and time to take care of the basics.  Those who can should and must get bold because they will be the storehouse of knowledge with tools to establish a return to localism.  At some point when the walls come crashing down it will be resilient and sustainable locals that will pick up the pieces of a reboot of some kind of civilization.

REAL Green acknowledges this might mean a bottleneck or extinction but it is also about a process that is a journey.  For sanity REAL Green orientates its higher power to understand life is now a journey not a destination so meaning and happiness come from the journey to pain suffering and death.  That might sound like an incongruous juxtaposition and it is because the paradox of this new life means finding success must mean embracing failure.  REAL Green does this individually and in small groups because the top is hopelessly flawed and must by planetary definition fail.  In fact, the health of the planet requires modern man will die as we know him  and be rebirthed to a smaller scale.  Again, it must be remembered this may be extinction but because extinction is a process this is about the journey not the destination.

“Getting Real About Green Energy”

https://tinyurl.com/y3jyobya     peak prosperity

“An honest analysis of what it can’t promise…I want to be optimistic about the future. I really do.  But there’s virtually no chance of the world transitioning gently to an alternative energy-powered future.  These Are The ‘Good Old Days’…Math    So, what would it take to replace those 12,000 Mtoe with alternative fuels by 2050?  Pilke answers that for us:  Another useful number to know is that there are 11,051 days left until January 1, 2050.  To achieve net-zero carbon dioxide emissions globally by 2050 thus requires the deployment of >1 Mtoe of carbon-free energy consumption (~12,000 Mtoe/11,051 days) every day, starting tomorrow and continuing for the next 30+ years.  Achieving net-zero also requires the corresponding equivalent decommissioning of more than 1 Mtoe of energy consumption from fossil fuels every single day…Human Behavior     One huge reason that an easy, seamless transition to alternative energy won’t happen is because our biological wiring is terrible at responding to such big, complex, long-range predicaments…Each country is currently struggling with its own brew domestic social and political problems (of their own making, I should add). They have neither the appetite or ability to take on the much more challenging task of a 30-year global energy infrastructure re-build.   Making this energy transition will require an enormous diversion of effort – away from this and towards that.  It will be hard.  It will take a lot of political capital and expert leadership.  Huge pain and suffering will result as entire industries are shut down and new ones are started up.  Just drive through any former mill or mining region and you can still see the bitter remnants of its abandoned industries.  Some have not yet recovered, even hundreds of years after the initial loss…Time, Scale and Cost     Similar supply constraints arise if we calculate out the amount of resources required to build the amount of wind towers or solar panels that could replace these nuclear plants.  The costs are staggering, the global resources too limited.  There aren’t enough new hydro dam sites to even make a dent.  Also complicating things, each of these so-called alternative energy systems requires a huge amount of fossil fuels to mine, manufacture, install and maintain. The world has yet to see a single windmill or solar panel that was mined, manufactured and installed without using fossil energy…Conclusion     Given the math, human tendencies, and the issues pertaining to time, scale and cost, the current green energy movement currently is little more than hot air. It’s just not going to happen in time.  We’re nowhere close to being able to build out the massive energy projects required. The equivalent of 3 nuclear plants every two days for the next 30 years? That’s a total pipe dream.  We lack the political will, the cultural readiness, the proper narrative. Even the appropriate resources.  Beyond those concerns, nearly everything about how we heat, move, cool and manufacture the components of our modern lives will have to be refashioned (and possibly jettisoned) as part of that project.  Such an ambitious undertaking has no historical analog.  It’s a ridiculously complex set of problems (which have solutions) and predicaments (which don’t).  It’s exactly the sort of situation that politicians will avoid as long as possible, after which it will be too late to do very much about it.  Which means you need to adjust your expectations and investment of your money and energy, accordingly. The entire world — which is utterly dependent on infinite growth — is only years away from grasping the impossibility of that approach.  When it does, everything will change. Quickly.”