I am offering an excellent work by a dear intellectual friend of mine at http://energyshifts.net. His Essay is “There Are No Limits To Growth”.
I am not going to go into the detailed issues of energy and decline but to explain my journey. I have hundreds of saved articles and comments on the subject. This education is over 2 decades. I was educated in economics and finance in the early 80s. I also took many electives in philosophy, ecology, and geology. These electives actually impacted me much more than my core studies. During this time, I was heavily invested in globalism and supported the ideas of sustainable development. I read every globalist magazine “The Economist” that came out for years. I now reject globalism and especially the ideas behind the “Great Reset” which is a doubling down on globalism and transhumanism based upon a religion of Scientism.
I graduated from college and moved to Europe working in Germany for a year in a construction company as an apprentice. My first wife was Spanish and French. I spent a few years in Spain and France following my time in Germany. I was able to learn a functional German and Spanish but never became fluent. This meant I returned to the US to work in our family’s business eventually. Because I had excellent opportunities there.
In 2000 I became aware of the systematic dangers of modern life with Y2K. This may have been a hoax of sorts but it also pointed to the instability of modern life. In my geology classes I studied peak oil and in ecology class climate change. These topics started to heat up in the early 2000s. I moved out of the city to a farm that was very remote despite being within a 50 min drive of my job in St. Louis. City life had so disillusioned me I braved the commute. Here I developed my real passion which was permaculture homesteading skills. This time was the beginning of my Green Prepping development period.
I had a spiritual awakening of sorts and decided to leave my job in the family business in the city. The corporate way of life was not conducive to my spiritual health so I took a buyout. This was a drop in affluence but I was free. I gave up a wealthy future to live closer to nature. I embraced the idea that peak oil was a near and present danger. I eventually was somewhat radicalized in my response to peak oil and by the 08 crisis had made dramatic changes to how I lived.
Of course, the 08 crisis and peak oil came and went but only in respect to the short-termism of the human narrative. Peak oil and the condition of late stage capitalism is here still but buried with other problems that when combined are a predicament. Renewables will never break out of the need for fossil fuels in my opinion. Now we see those experimenting with Marxism and socialism as if that is a transition for late stage capitalism. Instead it is just a hijacking of power as civilization crumbles. In my opinion all of this is part of the decline process including the planet and the web of life.
There is today a movement to be zero carbon with the promotion of renewables. Over the past 8 years I have focused extensively on the possibility of a transition to zero carbon world. I can tell you I reject this completely but I do feel renewables are vital as a transformative path meaning we need to develop these technologies to cushion the blow of the coming resource constraints of a world reaching an existential inflection. This inflection includes energy, technology, and governance. Renewables are part of my life but I do not believe in them as an energy transition.
My central postion of REAL Green is an acceptance that society is path dependent in a carbon trap and technology will only make this worse. Diminishing returns is now the governing force behind decline. Diminishing return eventually goes nonlinear. In this nonlinear transition zone, there is a move from problem solving to making the problem worse. We are near this point with dishonest science pursing dellusionals solutions because civilization cannot handle the truth of decline. The science is honest on the problems for the most part in my opinion. It is the social narrative that cannot and will not entertain the idea that a baked in collpase process is self-evident based upon path dependencies of civilization with tech and energy.
REAL Green was born with my concerns on climate change, peak oil, and systematic decline. I have done extensive studies of all three over the past 21 years but extensive daily studies over the last 10 years. I am now living a way of life based upon my findings. I am no longer concerned on the direction civilization is going in because it is trapped in its need for carbon and because of path dependencies. This is self-organizing and reflects the fact all civilizations end and end for similar reasons which is denial and delusions. This is most evident with the elites in history and today this is never more apparent with our elites.
I am including a very well written essay by a fellow blogger who has given me permission to post his essay. He has come to similar conclusions that the only way forward is the pursuit of spiritual assets of meaning as the inevitable decline of physical affluence becomes unavoidable. He is in the Southern Hemisphere on the other side of the planet. This to me is an example of a global awakening. Many others who value honesty are coming to the same conclusions.
I recommend you read his essay. He gave me permission to repost “There Are No Limits to Growth” here on my blog. Go to his site to see his work. He also went through a profound journey. REAL Green’s basis is journey. My dear friend is a real writer. I am not. I am only relating my life as reference. My work is on the land in localism. He has produced a stunning work that has come to similar conclusions to mine. He still holds out civilization might transition spiritually when my opinion is this is the end game for civilization but instead it is the individual who can transition. My dear friend is more optimistic and likely you will find his writing more palatable. Nobody likes to dwell on collapse and basically REAL Green’s conclusion is your journey must start from the acceptance of a collpase process on all levels. Here is his work:
There Are No Limits To Growth
The overall message of this essay is about returning to a more spiritual way of life that is less resource intensive, due to a looming decline in the availability of fossil fuels.
Introduction
In this chapter, we will explore why humans are driven to such strong material growth and how we could transition to a less resource-intensive form of growth in light of future physical resource constraints. Given that humans are naturally driven to growth, how do we canalize our will to grow appropriately and in line with the new incoming energy of the age?
Unconstrained Material Growth
During a materialistic epoch, such as the one that we are in, it would be natural for civilizations to generally tend towards material growth, because humans are to a large extent bound by the dominant energy of the age in which they find themselves [see Part 5].
Most cultures would, nonetheless, endeavor to preserve and promote spiritual practices that would offset materialism in order to maintain some balance. There is usually a natural understanding amongst spiritual leaders in all cultures that by abandoning spirituality completely, people could ‘lose their heads’ in materialism – and that would be especially true in a material age. Should that happen, sufficient internal moral codes to limit external material excesses would disappear.
Disconnected Material Growth
Material growth, accomplished with restraint and within an environmentally conscious framework, would require maintaining a connection with the natural environment, but the concept of modern progress in itself depends to a large extent on moving away from nature. Urbanization and modernization go hand-in-hand, which means that physical removal from nature is usually followed by intellectual removal from nature – and vice versa.
The Power of Modernization
Bearing physical constraints in mind would always be the wise thing to do, especially when moving away from nature; however, maintaining such an equilibrium when almost permanently isolated from nature may be easier said than done.
When societies are swept up in the heady currents of modernization, with the driving force being progress at all costs, nature and the environment recede into the background. They are only occasionally focused upon, usually temporarily, mainly when large environmental crises hit news headlines.
The price that we would pay for living within resource constraints would be reduced material growth with limited modernization, while the price that we are paying for powerful, unconstrained modernization is a loss of perception in relation to natural resource boundaries. The more we modernize, the further we drift away from limited resource realities and the more our collective myopia grows.
Severed Connections
A loss of connection with nature results in a loss of empathy for it by not having any direct relationship with it. Indeed, the idea of having empathy for nature would in itself seem odd to many. However, watching National Geographic documentaries about the living earth, with us as part of the biosphere, simply doesn’t suffice.
You have to live in the natural world, or live very close to it, to engage with it and to experience it in order to have a connection with it. When such direct and natural interactions with nature are lacking, a sense of the sacredness within nature is lost. Maintaining a moral approach towards the natural world and the biosphere then falls by the wayside.
When we do not know nature directly, our inclination to appreciate it, respect it and care for it is diminished, and so is the likelihood of feeling a sense of duty or responsibility towards the natural world.
One-Sided Growth
Interacting with nature regularly puts people in a better position to have natural empathy for it, because they would understand that nature has natural empathy for them in the sense that it provides for them. Everything that we use and consume comes from the natural world first and foremost. It is then processed and refined, but the modern mind tends to not make that connection consistently enough.
There is no doubt that incredible human progress has been made through modernization, notably in the sciences and technology. This progress has undoubtedly led to the further development of the human mind, but it has also led to a one-sided form of development due to our intellectual disconnect from nature.
An imbalance has developed in that modern humans do not fully comprehend that they are naturally and fundamentally connected to nature at all times, and that they are an intrinsic component of nature. We are not alien to this world and neither are we aliens in it, but one-sided intellectual development away from the natural world can and does at times lead to such a perspective.
Committed to Material Growth
Our dependence on material growth for modern prosperity, welfare, safety, comforts and quality of life – things that everybody wants and aspires to – means that our capacity for prioritizing anything outside of this paradigm is greatly compromised. Even the idea of limiting material growth would, in many cases, motivate an even stronger commitment to it.
Indeed, having to let go of material growth without anything to replace it would be near-impossible for most people. Much of what they have ever known, especially in the developed world, has had to do with material growth, with a bit of spiritual growth on the side. Therefore, the idea that material growth could potentially come to an end one day would oftentimes be experienced as a looming disaster of epic proportions.
Growth of the Urban Class
Once people are modernized, they rarely voluntarily revert to the pre-modernization state. By the same token, once urbanized, people generally do not return to the land.
It can be observed in developing countries that when individuals from indigenous communities become urbanized and modernized, they tend to consider themselves as having become more advanced than their peers who had maintained their traditional lifestyles in rural areas.
This is a phenomenon that has become clearly visible in the developed world, too. City dwellers often consider themselves to be more educated, more sophisticated and more forward thinking than rural or farm residents. This became quite evident during events that played out during and after the UK-EU ‘Brexit’ membership referendum in 2016 and during the USA presidential election in the same year.
It would appear that on the part of the urbanized population there tends to be a lack of understanding of what it takes to live and work close to the land and how the educational, technological and social requirements would be different.
Urbanized middle and upper classes, therefore, seem to develop a tendency to look down on those who had “stayed behind” in the country. There is, perhaps, a perception that rural people suffer a deficit in education and a lack of sophistication and, therefore, by implication, that they lack class. In spite of such perceptions, the urban class remains fully dependent on farming communities for their food supply.
Although there are many communities worldwide with one-foot-in and one-foot-out of urban living due to spending time in the countryside with family members or by commuting from the countryside to towns or cities for work, once people become fully urbanized and have never known rural life, then choosing to become a farmer becomes a rather remote possibility.
Towards Upward Mobility
There is, presently, a strong, ongoing, worldwide trend towards urbanization [1]. The number of countries where this trend does not feature is no more than a couple of dozen [2]. This means that there is an ongoing trend towards more materialism through the consumerism which is an embedded feature of urbanization and modern living.
When people urbanize, they get access to a variety of goods, services and forms of entertainment that they would otherwise not have access to on a consistent basis. They would also have access to modern infrastructure, amenities and technological conveniences which are lacking outside of urban areas. There are also educational and skills-oriented opportunities available in urban areas, which rural environments simply don’t provide. There is a strong correlation between urbanization and prosperity [3].
The Freedom to Grow
Personal growth in a material sense requires freedom. Community-oriented, traditional lifestyles don’t usually provide many opportunities for fully pursuing personal interests and objectives. Modernization, however, promises to potentially deliver individual achievement and success on multiple levels.
That people would choose to modernize in order to self-realize is simply a logical conclusion of going after opportunities, in many cases pursuing new opportunities that are opening up [4]. It is, therefore, little surprise that given the innate drive of humans to progress and to evolve, people would be drawn to self-realization through modernization within a materialistic paradigm.
Modern progress (through industrialization, mechanization and automation) only becomes a problem when global population numbers grow to the extent that massive environmental degradation is caused by so many people self-realizing through modernization that it ends up threatening the collapse of civilization back into a pre-modern age.
Material vs. Spiritual Growth
The natural close proximity that indigenous people have to nature allows them to maintain – quite naturally – an equilibrium between materialism and spirituality. Indeed, indigenous people are often more spiritual than materialistic, even within the context of a material age.
Human consciousness being predominantly materialistic in its orientation in the present age means that becoming more spiritual and less materialistic within an urban environment could have the benefit of reducing over consumption on an individual level.
There is, however, a relatively large difference between personal development in a modernized setting compared to nature-based spirituality. Becoming more intellectually spiritual through self-development while living in a city does not necessarily result in having closer contact with nature.
One Foot In and One Foot Out
On the other hand, it is also true that many people do, indeed, manage to maintain some form of balance by getting out of cities frequently for nature-based activities. In addition, they may also maintain frugal and responsible environmentally conscious living practices.
These individuals would probably cope better should a need ever arise to leave urban areas and return to the land. Nevertheless, it remains unlikely that even this section of society would relocate en masse from urban areas by their own volition.
Individually removing oneself on a permanent basis from a city or town could be a solution and would, perhaps, be the only real way to bring about a personal transformation in terms of actively being more in harmony with the environment on an ongoing basis.
Modernization vs Simplification
The bottom line is that, for the time being, nobody wants to go back in time in terms of progress and, in the minds of the vast majority of people, progress means modernization, which is, of course, also true for them on a practical, material level. Modern progress is what the vast majority of people want.
‘De-modernizing’, degrowing and deindustrializing go directly against the modern concept of progress and are completely counter-intuitive to the majority of people, regardless of resource depletion realities on the ground and ongoing environmental degradation.
Negative Progress
Once intellectually modernized through urban living and by embracing modern technologies, there’s virtually no going back. In that sense, one could say that collapse is by design, because there seems to be no reverse gear built into the human psyche once it has become modernized.
Collapse happens when the majority of people within a civilization are unable or unwilling to change their thinking or their behaviors when such change would be the only way to save their civilization. Civilizations, therefore, in some cases progress themselves into collapse.
The Economic Growth Imperative
Macroeconomics is the study of the overall economic performance of a country, and ‘the growth imperative’ is an underlying principle of macroeconomics that takes the view that growth is always good for an economy [10]. The reasoning behind it is that continuous economic growth – measured in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) – reflects better living standards for the population.
Better living standards become possible when there are more jobs and higher salaries, and that would depend on more manufacturing, more production and more service delivery. These economic activities are driven by the main objective of companies for more profits for themselves and for their shareholders (their shareholders often being employees and ordinary working people.)
Higher industrial output and more jobs result in more taxes from corporations and individuals. More taxes would mean that governments can provide better social support systems, health care services and infrastructure development and can improve overall living standards.
The growth imperative is, therefore, fundamental to modern progress, and it is usually reflected in economic policymaking worldwide as it always aims to stimulate more economic growth for the economies of all countries.
Towards More Upward Mobility
The possibility of achieving better living standards draws people from rural areas towards urban areas which results in more industrial activity – which then causes more environmental degradation [4] [3] . Any long-term decline in economic growth would cause a decline in living standards for just about everyone, except for those who had never had their living standards raised in the first place.
Generally speaking, once living standards rise and people enter the middle classes through upward mobility, they vote for politicians who would continue to secure their living standards. Also, voters usually wish that the politicians they vote for support policies that would provide opportunities for the further raising of their quality of life through sustained and consistent economic growth.
This means that virtually all economically active people support the economic growth imperative, whether in developing or developed nations. The more that people have their material living standards raised, the higher the demand becomes for more material growth which, in turn, exacerbates the negative impact on the environment.
Sustainable development is, therefore, an oxymoron, because in the bigger scheme of things the economic growth imperative almost always wins out over limited resource realities and environmental concerns.
A New Ethic
Should the Spirit of the Age change organically, a new ethic could potentially arrive naturally, (as discussed in Parts 3 and 5), but that would require a shift in the metaphysical energy of the age which would result in a general shift in human thinking. Such a shift will arrive incrementally – but may not arrive soon enough to avoid a partial collapse of our civilization.
A time will eventually come when humans will be less materialistic in terms of their thinking and would naturally want to move away from the material growth imperative (see Part 5) but, until such time, everything points to the fact that it would be up to individuals to make such a shift on their own (as far as that would be possible for them), both in thinking and in lifestyle.
When physical resource limits for further economic expansion eventually set in to the extent that the majority of people are personally and directly affected, a general shift in thinking may occur. Regardless, lifestyle changes will eventually be forced upon people due to a decline in the availability of affordable fossil fuels (See: Limits to Growth – A Final Warning.)
Eventually, the number of people motivated to shift to another form of growth would swell exponentially and they would then follow in the footsteps of those individuals who had made the shift earlier on.
There Are No Limits To Growth
There are no limits to growth. Although there are limits to external growth, there are no limits to internal growth. One thing that will never change is our will to grow. As humans, we are absolutely driven to grow. The very reason why we are here is to grow – but not only materially so, and that is where we need to change our thinking. What has to change is the way that we grow. We need to shift our approach from being outer-growth-oriented to inner-growth-oriented.
The Great Shift
Growth is cyclical; sometimes it is material and sometimes it is spiritual (as illustrated in Part 5). We have entered an era of exponential spiritual growth while the window for material growth is closing. Most people are so committed to material growth that they are unable to make the shift in advance – and few are even contemplating it.
From Circles to Spirals
Unlimited material growth is a closed circle – a self-reinforcing loop that relies on the continuous availability of limited external material resources, some of which we will eventually run out of, without there being sufficient substitutes.
Spiritual growth in the form of inner self-development is an open, ascending spiral with infinite growth potential that draws on unlimited intangible resources within and which can be tapped indefinitely for internal expansion.
Making the Shift
The whole objective of self-development and self-transformation is to grow beyond the general state of being that is the standard level of development of the times. Those who follow this path become the pioneers who traverse The Valley of Shadows in advance. They transcend the limits of the present paradigm early by living in the next paradigm consciously and practically, while still being in the old paradigm at the same time.
The Inner Growth Imperative
The inner growth imperative will, one day, become as powerful as the outer growth imperative is today. To be in line with the new energy in advance, we would need to switch over from an external economic growth imperative – based mainly on material and physical accumulation and consumption – to an internal self-realization growth imperative that is based on internal expansion and the accumulation of non-tangible inner-wealth.
Once we have made this shift consciously and intellectually, we will have the ability to be happy with less and we will be able to embrace the coming changes more naturally. Individuals who choose this path are a minority, but they will be better positioned to pioneer and conceptualize new ways of living compared to people living exclusively in a material growth paradigm physically and mentally.
The Vision Quest
We have to evolve into creating for ourselves more non-material comforts and pleasures. We have to create an environment that would provide peace and spiritual prosperity, notwithstanding having less material abundance. We have to formulate a new ethic that allows for personal and individual freedoms within the context of a renewed responsibility to our community and our environment at the same time.
This and more are achievable, but it would require forward-thinking people who are motivated to make an early shift. While we still have time, we need to envision the world that we would like to live in. It is most likely going to be a return return to a slower way of life. Taking a positive view of this probable future and having a pragmatic approach towards it would enable us to envision solutions more clearly as we shift.
Towards Simplicity
The meaning of progress and development will change. In the future, it would mean a return to a simpler life, combined with personal inner development, as opposed to a complex life with external development in the form of possessions and status.
We have to revert to the Great Year Within and uplift ourselves. We have to spiral upwards along with the upwards-moving energy on the ascending arc of human evolution. Such a state can only be reached through self-development.
The more people start moving in this direction and combine it with a one-foot-out approach – spending more time in nature – the sooner we will make the transition in advance and the more people will be available to build resilient communities in anticipation of the coming changes.
By J.J. Montagnier
J.J. Montagnier is an independent researcher and writer. He can be found at EnergyShifts.net.
Resources:
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2. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.RUR.TOTL.ZS
3. https://ourworldindata.org/economic-growth#urbanisation-and-prosperity
4. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_mobility
5. https://ourworldindata.org/world-population-growth
6. https://www.ucsusa.org/sites/default/files/attach/2017/11/World%20Scientists%27%20Warning%20to%20Humanity%201992.pdf
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8. https://www.forbes.com/sites/startswithabang/2018/02/06/sorry-earth-the-ozone-layer-isnt-healing-itself-after-all/#2094a78a5418
9. https://weather.com/science/environment/news/2018-02-07-ozone-layer-thinning-climate-change-chemicals-global-warming
10. https://www.economicshelp.org/macroeconomics/economic-growth/0
11. http://euanmearns.com/eroei-for-beginners
12. https://ourworldindata.org/fertility-rate
13. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dependency_ratio
14. https://www.worldatlas.com/articles/countries-with-the-lowest-birth-rates-in-the-world.html
15. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographic_transition
16. https://persquaremile.com/2012/08/08/if-the-worlds-population-lived-like/
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