The Dualism of REAL Green

“… the difficulty of living in two worlds at the same time, the post-industrial and the sustainable future.  I wonder if you ever feel the same. ”

 

Personally, I think this is one of the toughest parts of being a green prepper.  The ability to carry on your status quo life but also prep for some kind of collapse process is the key.  So, this comes down to behavior again.  The psychological aspect of adapting to a collapse process is what I like to call the hospice with tech being the lifeboat.  This psychological aspect is the hardest to attain because it requires one living in two world which are juxtaposition.  You must live and grow in the status quo or you are outcompeted but in a world of collapse the key is to collapse in place in relative decline.  This requires special mental skills of adaptation to both lives in a balance.  Most of us who are fully engaged in the collapse process would like to go 100% into what we feel is the proper way to emulate.   This collapse process is supported by honest science but we cannot go 100% or else we upset the status quo of place and significant others.  A radical departure into a new way of life characterized by following the gradient of decline can destroy one’s life if undertaken improperly.

 

This is not to say some cannot do it.  In fact I would recommend this to those who can because it is the way of truth.  To a true higher intelligence, the truth characterizes the journey with the destination accepted.  To those who can’t go 100% I recommend a second way and that is a retreat in force and by this, I mean living a hybrid life of decline and growth.  You must be green and brown to get greener.  Use the status quo to leave it and in this process psychologically accept failure and guilt as the basis.  This acceptance of failure and guilt gives cover for the seemingly incongruous behaviors one must live with like driving and consumerism when one knows these are so destructive.  Behavior is the KEY and localized behavior at that.  The status quo is path dependent and carbon trapped but the local can adapt to less with proper orientation.

Denialism

I am not seeing a coherent climate plan coming out of the movement.  If the plan were sound then denialist would have a much harder time.  In fact, I see denial out of the climate movement with their so-called solutions.  Many of these claimed solutions are a scientific farce when reality tested with economics and systemness.  The ecology of some of the plans is plain dirty and destructive.  We have our best and brightest scientist proposing technologically dubious plans.  These plans are pushing science that has not been proven.  They are not realistic with affordability.  The scale of these proposals is monstrous.  The ideas of how humans should live in these new worlds is unrealistic.

 

I will admit renewables have a place as an extender of our modern way of life.  We can get greener with them.  Please don’t tell me EV’s are green because they are not.  You can’t green the car culture.  Then there is the Degrowthers who speak about a circular economy.  I love the idea of it but degrowth means collapse economically.  How “collapsed” is a big question but there will be no circular economy except at very small scales.  So, our climate lefties are plenty at fault for denial it is just on the other side of the discussion.

 

Denying climate science is very hard to do and remain legitimate.  Yet is it legitimate to dream up all kinds of wild solutions to the climate problems ahead?  This is OK because it is said that we must be optimistic.   We should be like they were in WWII with a Green New Deal and so forth.  Let’s be like Kennedy and propose a moon landing.  We can do it if we try type thing.  Has anyone ever thought that maybe this is just digging the hole deeper?  Finally, man has hit the brick wall but nobody will admit it.  Will more techno solutions and more behavioral delusions going to make this tragedy better?  I don’t think so.

 

There is nothing I see out there that says we can cut emissions and clean up our activity by 2050 or even 2080.  People like to think we can advance technologically and solve the problem because that is what we have done.  How about just admitting defeat?  Start outfitting lifeboats for adapting and mitigating the coming destructive period.  How about hospices of meaning where people talk about decline and collapse?  To be fair such discussions are not possible so I guess by default the climate movement wins.  Yet, they do not win on merit but instead only default.  Yes, climate deniers are wrong I agree but don’t tell me climate movement hype and expect me to agree.  What happens if you don’t agree with these green radicals?  If you don’t agree then they called you a climate denier or better yet a Trumper.

 

I am outfitting my life for decline.  I invested in solar and many other green strategies.  I am also adapting behavior.  I am doing it for what I feel is the right reason and that is green prepping.  I want to live locally so I am investing in scalability of a way of life post peak modernism.  I am a tree hugger and believe in localism but I do not care for the climate movement.  They are barking up a tree like lunatics.  They are better than the browns but not by much.  This whole show is going to crash green or brown.

 

 

“William Rees: Memo from a Climate Crisis Realist: The Choice before Us”

https://tinyurl.com/stdrcxy     energy skeptic

 

So, where might we go from here? A rational world with a good grasp of reality would have begun articulating a long-term wind-down strategy 20 or 30 years ago. The needed global emergency plan would certainly have included most of the 11 realistic responses to the climate crisis listed below — which, even if implemented today would at least slow the coming unravelling. And no, the currently proposed Green New Deal won’t do it.  Here, then, is what an effective “Green New Deal” might look like:

Formal recognition of the end of material growth and the need to reduce the human ecological footprint;

Acknowledgement that, as long as we remain in overshoot — exploiting essential ecosystems faster than they can regenerate — sustainable production/consumption means less production/consumption;

Recognition of the theoretical and practical difficulties/impossibility of an all-green quantitatively equivalent energy transition;

Assistance to communities, families and individuals to facilitate the adoption of sustainable lifestyles (even North Americans lived happily on half the energy per capita in the 1960s that we use today);

Identification and implementation of strategies (e.g., taxes, fines) to encourage/force individuals and corporations to eliminate unnecessary fossil fuel use and reduce energy waste (half or more of energy “consumed” is wasted through inefficiencies and carelessness);

Programs to retrain the workforce for constructive employment in the new survival economy;

Policies to restructure the global and national economies to remain within the remaining “allowable” carbon budget while developing/improving sustainable energy alternatives;

Processes to allocate the remaining carbon budget (through rationing, quotas, etc.) fairly to essential uses only, such as food production, space/water heating, inter-urban transportation;

Plans to reduce the need for interregional transportation and increase regional resilience by re-localizing essential economic activity (de-globalization); image atom Don’t Call Me a Pessimist on Climate Change. I Am a Realist read more

Recognition that equitable sustainability requires fiscal mechanisms for income/wealth redistribution;

A global population strategy to enable a smooth descent to the two to three billion that could live comfortably indefinitely within the biophysical means of nature.

“What? A deliberate contraction? That’s not going to happen!” I hear you say. And you are probably correct. It should by now be clear that H. sapiens is not primarily a rational species.  But in being correct you only prove me correct. Disastrous climate change and energy shortages are near certainties in this century and global societal collapse a growing possibility that puts billions at risk.

REAL Green Scaling

REAL Green admires and respects doctrines like the Simpler Way and Rojava Kurds but does not embrace these doctrines as such.  REAL Green concern is scaling of localism.  In a relative sense localism will never scale to the level many like the Simpler way adverts preach.  It is not an answer for levels above a local and small group.  This scale is as small as the individual because often there is no REAL Green present in ones local.  It can be a lonely affair but one that is honest.   The reason this is the case is the carbon trap and path dependencies that anchor the status quo firmly in a brittle climax economic and social system.  What REAL Green does instead is yields to scale and forages off it.  REAL Green realizes status quo scale wins if you resist it but you can adapt it locally.  You will still have to pay your tribute which means you will have to delocalize as required to make a living.  A rare few can withdraw in ideal circumstances into REAL Green monasteries and even these lucky ones are still trapped in a common failure.

 

It is scaling that allows trap mitigation.  REAL Green finds strength in scale.  Small scale and low carbon gathering activities form the basis of scale mitigation.  The status quo is a global late stage capitalism of overshoot of consumption and population in an Anthropocene of planetary decline.  A scale mitigation strategy requires a careful transitioning to a simpler way of life.  It is careful because it requires diligent wisdom of what lifestyles and tech to embrace.  It is not a rejection of tech nor a counter revolution of the status quo behavior but instead a way that yields to it but in strength.  The strength is the meaning that comes with low carbon capture techniques along with localizing behavior efforts.  It is the hybridization of old ways that were naturally local and the benefits of the huge amount of knowledge and material the modern status quo has made possible.

 

The gatekeeper is REAL Green Wisdom that seeks mostly less.  This less is avoiding the pitfalls of tech and knowledge that are a siren song of delocalization.  It is the triage of this siren song that is the basis of REAL Green wisdom because we live in a world of too much of everything complicating and disrupting harmony.  We are sucked into delocalization through dopamine hits of physical and mental pleasures.  REAL Green preaches a relative asceticism, stoicism, and Spartan living.  The relative nature of this action is avoiding the radical and the destructive of overt disruptive behavior.  Remain under the radar screen in camouflage of humility.  Your delocalized status quo trapped local only allows so much deviation materially and with meaning.  This is an add on not a new way for your local which includes place but also group.  You can only adapt your local away from the trend of delocalization and relativisms.  You cannot stop the process of decline and collapse because this is planetary and systematically path dependent.  It is the nature of succession that occurs when a species and ecosystem are in a condition of being at the thresholds of overshoot.  This overshoot is planetary and systematic and all the more reason it is a unbeatable trap.  It is about accepting the failure of this system your local is trapped in.  It is about making life boats and hospices to this condition.  The lifeboats are alternative living and the hospices is the acceptance of death in a holistic way.  This points to one of your most important REAL Green decisions and that is picking your local.

 

What is meant by this is the embrace of collapse with green prepping.  It is about the journey which is an organized retreat in force.  Even though a REAL Green local is yielding to greater powers and in retreat this retreat is in force and organized.  It is drawing on the energy of the stats quo to leave it into a local that is more resilient and sustainable to the coming end of the status quo of delocalization.  Doctrines that are offered to those who think the status quo can be made different get lost in the futile effort of battling the trap.  They think there are ways to transcend the trap and transition out of it but this is little more than those in the denial of death in terminal illness.  REAL Green calls these people FAKE Greens because they are living a similar delusion as the Brown DELUSIONALIST.  A brown is in science denial or the bargaining of beneficial science to create a narrative of success.  A Fake Green is a step up by being honest about the science of planetary and social decline but delusional and bargaining with the science of the solutions.  Both groups have not made it through the stages of grief.  Both are in the neurotic condition of cognitive dissonance of existential wandering that a world of relativistic meaning requires.

 

REAL Green starts with failure and its acceptance and springs forth to activity embracing a journey of green prepping that seeks proper scaling.  This proper scaling offers meaning and planetary support.  The meaning comes from knowing the truth and the planetary support comes from proper scaling to a planetary process of succession into a less complex and less supportive natural environment that only localism can adapt to.  The planet is dying and so is civilization.  REAL Green scales to this both mentally and physically and this is what offer a meaning that powers the journey.  This journey is into the gauntlet of collapse in acceptance to the end that is the failure of all we have come to know through the habituation of growth materially and with the advancement of knowledge that came with that growth.

 

 

“Kurdist Rojava: A Social Model for our Future”

https://tinyurl.com/vo7rqyq     resiliance

 

“The immense relevance of Rojava should now be apparent.  It is one of the most impressive examples of people building a society based on the kinds of principles and practices that must be adopted if we are to make a transition to a sustainable and just society.  Summarising the main elements in this remarkable venture show how closely it aligns with the Simper Way perspective:  The basic social unit is the small local community which decides most of the economic, legal and social issues affecting it.  The orientation is cooperative and collectivist, focused on finding the best way for the community.  Both the capitalist and the state-controlled way are rejected, in favour of grass roots democratic control.  Hierarchy, domination and top-down power are rejected. The community governs itself via thoroughly participatory processes.  The economy is geared mostly to local self-sufficiency and is not driven by profit or market forces or the individual quest for wealth; it is driven by the intention of meeting needs.  Much production is carried out via cooperatives and much productive property is publicly owned and commons.  Inclusiveness is a high priority; the underdog is provided for, jobs are found for the poor and unemployed.  Emphasis is given to ecological sustainability, especially to developing sustainable local agriculture.  The vicious trap that is the conventional “development” ideology is avoided. That doctrine asserts that growth of GDP = development, you must compete in the global market place, you need for capital and loans to build the infrastructures investors want (so they can ship out your resources). If you accept these myths you will soon end up in impossible debt, and have to wait many decades before any benefit trickles down to your poor masses. But development in Rojava focuses on using local resources to produce basic necessities for local people with almost no dependence on capital, investors or the global economy. (See TSW: Third World Development.)  Its change strategy centres on “prefiguring”, that is building new ways within the old system.  Thus the centrality of cultural revolution is recognized. If people come to understand and happily opt for the new ways, then they will eagerly build and run them.  Little or nothing can be achieved by ruthless vanguard parties using violence to take state power if people in general don’t have the necessary vision. Participatory control of “state-level” functions will come later as the grassroots movement strengthens.  It should also be clearly evident that Rojava is confirming the basic Simpler Way claim that the required perspective for saving the planet is not Eco-socialist, it is Eco-Anarchist.”

Anticipating Collapse

“Anticipating Collapse”

https://tinyurl.com/tx9smly     damariszehner

 

“Collapse can’t happen soon enough, as far as I’m concerned. By collapse, I mean the breakdown of the complexities of our current society.”

 

The pace of collapse is a difficult topic to define in regards to good or bad.  It is clear we are in a collapse process of sorts now but one punctuated by growth also.  The problem with this undulating plateau of a growth-based world entering a collapse process is much of the growth that is occurring is bad investments in regards to longer term sustainability.  This includes so called green investment which is many times fake green.  The pace of this decline is critical to survivability because degree and duration of shocks dictate species survival in an ecological succession.  While our species may survive a decline our institutions so important to (so called) civilized people might not survive.  It is likely we are going to have to have a little bit browner decline than many greens would like.  The KEY is behavior not tech.  Tech comes second.  Until greens realize this they are doomed.  Too many greens do not accept failure but that is the starting point for proper behavior.  Once acceptance is found then mitigation and adaptation can be embraced.  Acceptance does not ensure survival of our cherished institutions but it does give us hope

 

“But there are two points I want to make about collapse: that it is inevitable; and that it is necessary before genuine reform can take place.”

 

It is true that nature is categorized by evolution and succession of complexity.  It is likely our civilization may be too brittle to adequately change but it is also true that often shocks that create crisis are essential to behavioral changes and this issue of a better collapse is really about behavior with tech second.  In regards to the tech it is about properly applied tech with a gate keeper of a wisdom honed in a decline process IOW a wisdom that has gone through the stages of grief and is orientated to decline.  This orientation means choosing less complexity but relatively based upon the rate of decline.

 

“collapse now and avoid the rush,” as John Michael Greer puts it.”

 

This is what realgreenadaptation.blog talks about.  It is about localism and acceptance of a coming collapse process.  Collapse does not have to be bad it can be a way of life.  REAL Geen calls it green prepping.  It is a journey not a destination.  The destination is likely collapse for all of us but the journey means some will collapse sooner and harder than others.  Be one of those who tries to adapt to this.

 

“But the future doesn’t need to be a Book of Eli scenario of blasted landscapes, gangs, and cannibalism.”

 

The sad reality is when Hollywood gets involved the picture is clouded.  When our best minds in academia are in denial then the good aspects of a decline process are not expressed.  It becomes an issue of “failure is not an option” pushing crazy green initiatives that will likely fail instead of a measured retreat of civilization that is both green and brown.

Downcycling

The bellow article is another good article on FAKE Green.  It presents a profound concept of “down-cycling”.  This is what we are in danger of doing with renewables.  We are already doing this with recycling.  If one considers the labor, water, and fossil fuels it takes to separate and then try to utilize recyclables we see down cycling fully.  Yet, it is better than nothing at all but let’s not call it green.  Here is a definition:

“Downcycling, or cascading:

is the recycling of waste where the recycled material is of lower quality and functionality than the original material. Often, this is due to the accumulation of tramp elements in secondary metals, which may exclude the latter from high-quality applications. Wikipedia”

Downcycling is a great concept to describe blind techno optimism with its complicated tech and quality destroying efficiency.  Efficiency can actually lessen the quality of life with nature and human social life.  A concept that needs to be added to this blind techno optimism is simplicity.  Simplicity with its essential component of wisdom:

Wisdom     Knowledge of systemness:

“Knowledge of systemness is the hardest won knowledge there is. It includes not just ordinary knowledge, but wisdom as well – the knowledge of what ordinary knowledge to gain and how to use it. This will be more valuable to some future population than computers or solar collectors because from this knowledge all other technical aspects can be regenerated.”

We are now at a time were less is better than more in regards to knowledge and tech.  This is where FAKE Green is a failure.  FAKE Green wants more for less but too often diminishing returns destroy value and Jevons Paradox makes efficiency mean more with more leading to less.

 

 

“Vaclav Smil on natural gas (ethane) and plastics”

https://tinyurl.com/ua9zskr     energy skeptic

 

“The effort of collecting, transporting and cleaning plastics for possible recycling has largely failed, created much more pollution and contributed massively to climate change. The idea of burning plastics and using the energy to heat our homes was proposed by the plastics company Dow more than 30 years ago: it suggested treating all plastics as “borrowed oil”. At that time, ordinary domestic waste had a calorific value of low-grade coal, so the suggestion was that this waste should be burned in efficient plants with heat recovery and treatment of the gases produced, perhaps even trapping the carbon dioxide produced, rather than trying to recycle the complex (and dirty) mix of plastics.  Today, with higher use of more complex plastics, this makes even more sense. Mixed plastics cannot really be recycled: they are long-chain molecules, like spaghetti, so if you reheat and reprocess them, you inevitably end up with something of lower performance; it’s called down-cycling.”  While this could be polluting if not done right, people will certainly turn to burning plastic and anything else they can get their hands on at some point of energy decline. Better to do it correctly now in an incinerator than in backyards in the future as well as to protect our land and waterways from plastic pollution right now.”

 

“In 2010, packaging consumed almost 40% of the total (mostly as various kinds of PE and PP), construction about 20% (mostly for plastic sheets used as vapor barriers in wall and ceiling insulation), the auto industry claimed nearly 8% (interior trim, exterior parts), and the electrical and electronic industry took about 6% (mostly for insulation of wires and cables).  All of these products begin as ethane. In North America and the Middle East ethane is separated from natural gas, and low gas prices and abundant supply led to surplus production for export and favored further construction of new capacities: in 2012 Qatar launched the world’s largest LDPE plant and, largely as a result of shale gas extraction, new ethylene capacities are planned in the USA (Stephan, 2012). The dominant feedstock for ethane in Europe, where prices of imported natural gas are high, is naphtha derived by the distillation of crude oil.  Plastics have a limited lifespan in terms of functional integrity: even materials that are not in contact with earth or water do not remain in excellent shape for decades. Service spans are no more than 2–15 years for PE, 3–8 years for PP, and 7–10 years for polyurethane; among the common plastics only PVC can last two or three decades and thick PVC cold water pipes can last even longer (Berge, 2009).”

REAL Green Carbon Ranch

The carbon ranch is in an expression of the permaculture side of REAL Green.  What REAL Green does with permaculture is go hybrid with the old ways and new ways to achieve the goal of local sustainability with resilience.  The side benefits are increased benefits to local wildlife plus increase in the health of soil and water through REAL Green permaculture practices.  Rotational grazing with smaller stocking rates on polyculture pasture by multispecies grazing lowers machinery and chemical use.  Small scale hay production with low horse power equipment is lower carbon.  REAL Green intends to go electric with solar power charging of an electric tractor when available.  Real Green goes further with energy production by using a sustainable wood lot for wood heat but also solar energy to heat and supply power.  This energy production is hybrid and still uses the grid.  It is the hope of REAL Green the grid goes greener with more renewables.  The reason for the hybrid of grid and off grid strategies is the increased resilience of the two.  REAL Green is realistic about power and understands the benefits of both.  The grid is reliable and on demand which is useful with varied situations a REAL Green finds himself in.  REAL Green also is dedicated to efficiency strategies that lower consumption foot prints.  These are both technology and behavioral.

 

REAL Green is based on localism because that is the proper human scale but REAL Green is realistic and understands a REAL Green Ranch must dwell in a delocalized world that is carbon intensive.  This delocalized world is with people too who live on demand and discretionary in regards to consumption.  Many people do not factor in resilience, sustainability, and permaculture into their daily decisions but REAL Green does.  Activities are reflected on in this regard by REAL Green.  A trip to town is carbon intensive so the trip is multi-tasked.  Food waste is minimized by feeding animals what is left.  Localism means focusing on doing things at home avoiding road trips for enjoyment yet REAL Green realizes significant others are not REAL Green so there is flexibility to accommodate significant others who don’t embrace REAL Green.  This includes low carbon travel because REAL Greens point is localism enhances the Ranch and travel diminishes it.  That said some educational trips are beneficial and embraced.  Conservation strategies are embraced.  Lights are turned off when not in use.  Showers are done as needed instead of as a routine.

 

Consumerism is reduced but also adapted.  REAL Green embraces a decline paradigm so it is green prepping.  Consumerism is REAL Greens access to a bounty of high-quality material for the REAL Green Ranch.  REAL Green collects and stores the best material and tools for future use.  These items have longevity built in.  An emphasis is on low tech and simplicity. A REAL Green farm will have plenty of hand tools but also exceptional high-tech tools like solar, batteries, and digital tools.  REAL Green understands we are carbon trapped and path dependent so industrial agriculture is accepted as necessary in the fabric of the gradient of decline of a world in overshoot.  This means REAL Green does not try to replace industrial agriculture but offers seeds of change for the local for when planetary and social decline drives the local into less affluence.  REAL Green behavior is an add on for anyone including industrial ag.

 

Green prepping and low footprint living for the benefit of the planet is good and offers meaning.  It does not come cheap because it is hybrid and redundant for increased resilience and sustainability.  Hyper efficiency of the status quo seeks to drive cost down by whatever means.  REAL Green instead seeks to lower cost rationally when applicable in this regard.  A solar system is not cheaper than all electric but the resilience has a value.  Low stocking rates make an operation less efficient in regards to scale with volume but low stocking rates benefit the environment.  Vegetables are cheaper at Walmart but the taste and benefit of having food sources locally has value.  REAL Green uses the status quo to leave it so the value in that mentality is primarily about localizing delocalization.  Scale is the basis of REAL Green.  Humans are not scaled properly and this is primarily the problem with behavior and environmental degradation.  Since our environment is now a delocalized Anthropocene to inhabit, one must adapt but also mitigate.  The mitigation is localizing the damage delocalization does.

 

Ultimately REAL Green is about the wisdom of less.  The reason less is the focus is the fact that we are faced with too much from the delocalized world.  Costs drive us to delocalize because economies of scale and comparative advantage offer cost advantages.  Cheap energy allows transport that harms a local both with products introduced but also the delocalizing ability to leave the local.  REAL Green balances these demands with localism and resilience in mind.  Currently REAL Green localism is not even on the radar screen and for those who read these words REAL Green may be considered nutter.  That will change as the collapse process intensifies.  Since REAL Green is behavioral it is about the meaning that comes with increasing the strength and survivability of a local.  REAL Green does not have to be a ranch but permaculture should be a component.  Real Green can be a trade and might include travel like life found in sailing.  Scale dictates REAL Green value.

 

“The Carbon Ranch”

https://tinyurl.com/rwpb465     resilience

https://tinyurl.com/wv96zvf  carbon ranch picture

https://tinyurl.com/qnrqj5g     marin carbon project

 

“why is society so obsessed with high technology as a solution to our problems, including climate change, when the low technology of nature could be more effective? Why not use the power of photosynthesis as a solution instead?  In the op-ed, I argued that we could store carbon in soils by: (1) switching to planned grazing systems using livestock, particularly on degraded land; (2) restoring riparian and wetland zones; (3) protecting open space from development; and (4) implementing no-till farming practices.  “The time has come to bundle them together into one economic and ecological whole, which I call a carbon ranch,” I wrote. “The goal of a carbon ranch is to reduce atmospheric CO2 while producing substantial co-benefits for all living things. These include local food production, improved ecosystem services, restored wildlife habitat, rural economic development, and the strengthening of cultural traditions.”

REAL Green New Years Message

I am a green prepper which means I am going low carbon and local for multiple reasons.  I care about the planet and I am seeking more resilience with sustainability.  I call it REAL Green realgreenadaptation.blog.  This starts with acceptance of a systematic decline process that is both with human civilization and the planet.  It springs forward as an optimistic pessimist.  This incongruous juxtaposition meshes by looking at the journey not the destination.  The journey is a departure into an alternative way of life.  The end is acceptance of a dying of the status quo we have been habituated to.  Once the stages of grief involving the decline of place and our way of life is accepted then one goes forth in a hybrid way to restore the local but with the help of the delocalizing global world.  This is again a juxtaposition and a tricky one.  One lives in a hybrid life of being in the status quo to leave it.

 

The world is now Anthropocene which means we are path dependent and carbon trapped.  Within this trap there is free choice to adapt and mitigate the decline of the planet and civilization by a hybridization of the best material and practices of pre-modern and the amazing advances of the modern.  Low carbon capture is the key to this but is also unsupportable for most without support from the status quo of making a living to pay the bills.  High volume and intensive efforts are required these days to succeed in agriculture they also destroy the harmony of the local environment.  This means you must pay to go low carbon.  You may be lucky to cover cost and your labor will go unrewarded.  Restoration efforts cost money and time without economic return likely for years if at all.

 

I do a multispecies rotational grazing operation with goats and cattle.  I do this with low stocking rates.  I chose this mix because my fields through years of being left to themselves have developed a polyculture pasture of numerous plant types IOW they are overgrown with invasives but also have rich stands of grasses both native and introduced, weeds, and brush.  Goats and cattle manage this pasture type well.  This allows me to greatly reduce diesel needs for mowing fields and lower significantly chemical use.  Chemicals are only used along fences and not every year.  I also do renewable power and biomass heating. This involves introducing modern elements of low carbon capture with excellent tech.   I am utilizing biomass in the fields with hay and animal grazing.  I have gone low horse power with collecting hay in small batches at optimum times.  I hope to get an electric tractor if one becomes available to be powered by solar.  I also have custom haying done by contractors mainly in an effort to have some fields adapted to hay production.  I do this operation along with land dedicated to natural growth for wildlife.  I have a garden, orchard, and grapes.  I have opened my farm to beekeepers with several hives.  I garden minimalist because I don’t have time to specialize.  I also have chickens.  I have livestock guardian dogs that also serve as potential security.

 

REAL Green involves doing the basics of prep with security, food storage, and basics of sheltering.  This way of life involves a triage effort of distancing oneself from delocalizing lifestyles that damage a healthy local.  This is done with a relative effort that does not damage status quo ties too much.  You do not want to alienate and destroy status quo connections that support your efforts.  Significant others can be alienated by radical efforts.  You do REAL Green under the radar screen but are honest with those who seek this way of life.   The basic REAL Green effort means primarily trying to limit the car and consumer culture when ever possible.  REAL Green is a relative effort which means you live in and out of the status quo.  This is both with relationships and with place.  The relative part is a balance of the status quo and the departure from it.  Your significant others will most likely not be committed REAL Green.  Your place is probably not REAL Green because of delocalization.  Yet, it might have the bones of a beautiful REAL Green monastery with a local both natural and human that can be restored.

 

Since we are Anthropocene dependent you must adapt to it to leave it.  You mitigate the worst of it but with the mentality of being trapped and dependent on it.  If you have the time and the resources you attempt to build a REAL Green monastery that is a manifestation of low carbon living and green prepping.  It is about knowledge and wisdom.  The knowledge is the best of the old and the new and the wisdom is choosing what to use and not to use.  In this day and age most of the wisdom is about what not to use and avoid.  This is also about building up something for the younger members of the family and local.  They will see the worst of the decline process.

 

This process is uncertain because of the nature of decline.  Decline involves abandonment, dysfunction, and the irrational so a cascading drop in economic activity and support is possible.  It is also possible this could be a drawn-out affair.  We are at the cusp of change with many exciting techs that offer constructive growth but within a time of overall destructive change.  This destructive change revolves around planetary decline and a late stage civilization creaking from overshoot of numbers and consumption.

 

REAL Green is local and individual but reaches out to community and ranges to affect as much local as one can but with the wisdom of localism as its mission.  This is about deep adaptation to shocks that involves attempts at resilience through relinquishment and restoration.  This is another incongruous juxtaposition that points to a paradox of living REAL Green.  To build up you must tear down just like nature does with succession and evolution.  You emulate the planet and thereby strengthen your local with the understanding we are now in succession both human and natural.  The planet will support you because this is the WAY. This means we are moving down a gradient of decline into a world that is altered by less complexity and more disruption.  New niches will be created as old ones are destroyed.  You position your REAL Green monastery to hopefully be a seed of change.  This is not a religion it is an add-on to your higher power that is your own personal quest for the truth integrated with the planet and its cycles.

REAL Green Failure

Discussing total doom Is not saying total doom will happen quickly.  Binary behavior that is not capable of seeing a world of grey is what techno optimist tend to be.  Doomers have evolved and others  have gone delusional and now think we are in a techno age of solutions.  This could not be further from the truth.  We are now in a decline and decay process.  This is across the board of human behavior and planetary realities.  There is great tech evolving that could allow mitigation but it shows no evidence of saving us from the traps we are in.  Path dependencies that got us to this point of failure revolve around techno solutions and we somehow think different tech solutions will get us out of trouble.  The so-called golden decade of the onset of renewables was a time of destructive central bank policy that now has the world in a debt trap.  The peak oil crisis was papered over with the malinvestment of debt.  We are also in a carbon trap that means the renewable fantasy of green techno optimism will hit a brick wall.  Renewables can do much for our civilization in decline but it is showing no indication of overcoming the carbon trap.

 

The biggest issue is behavior and techno optimism is just another example of the behavior that must change but won’t.  If they didn’t learn from the last 10 years they never will.  A techno optimist thinks failure is not an option when we are already failed.  Modern man can win a retreat from this decline process but that means tough adaptation actions that acknowledge retreat instead techno optimist are on the offense.  Climate protests are an expression of this offensive behavior that is doomed.  Humans must downsize and live less energy intensive lives.  This does not mean more efficient tech it means less consumption and less people.   Tech can be part of it but not the driver.  This kind of degrowth behavior will be destructive there is no putting lipstick on destructive policy but this will be an organized retreat embracing decline not denying it.

 

Humans must reduce the bad behavior that has no future instead central banks have enshrined the status quo in growth-based behavior.  This continues the energy orgy behavior by repressing and easing the dysfunction of growth-based activities green or brown.  This has allowed investments without good ROI.   The planet is getting tougher on frivolous investments and we are covering that up with debt.  Policy adaptation is needed but wise policy not delusional policy.  Europe is making some good policy steps but will likely ruin it by overplaying its hand of continuing the unsustainable.  Renewable and EV centered policy could be recognized as a mitigation step but not a transition paradigm.  You may think well it is better than the alternative.  To a point this may be true but just imaging this alternative policy properly applied then one can see the wasted resources that might be much better applied with proper behavior adaptation.

 

Proper behavior would be policy stepping back from growth proactively understanding this process means recessionary results.  Degrowth policies mean a strangling of globalism but also allow for better adaptation to the reality of decline.  The climate response is a sham because loop holes are large and fake policy hides the truth.  Climate is lost as is the health of the planet. Less destructive behavior along with mitigation strategies should be where the bulk of policy and resources need to go.  Instead the world will purse tech-based growth that FAKE Greens tout as a green revolution with support of the brown status quo of fossil fuels and growth.   Renewables and alternative transport are not green and cannot be made green.  FAKE Greens are embracing growth and the transport culture when this is what is the problem.

 

Localism is the answer and this involves a degrowth of globalism simultaneously with a growth of local efforts.  Instead FAK Greens are trying to green up the status quo.  Local efforts will not provide the profit numbers needed by globalism.  What is not admitted by techno growth driven people is the fact the system requires financial repression and easing to survive.  This means globalism and techno growth have already failed.  The numbers have just been massaged and the bad economic behavior supported financially.  Since the proper actions of degrowth along with targeted growth locally is not going to be embraced this ensures that the behavior FAKE Greens are pushing is a failure too.

 

REAL Green would start with the behavior of failure driving a policy of reeducation and center around mitigation strategies.  Grand renewable policy of a Green New deal that is touted by regions like Europe or political classes like the liberal left will be a failure.  Some of their policies will yield some good tech but it is the behavior that will waste valuable resources.  At a point the effort to go carbonless will fail.  It will fail because the carbon trap says we can’t maintain a human scale that is global and go carbonless.  There is too much consumption by too many people.  This means we will get to doom but by a route of delusion and deception of FAKE behavior both Brown and Green.

REAL Green Traps

If you are honest about science then one realizes we are path dependent systematically with multiple problems that combine to be predicaments.  I don’t need to repeat them other than to say normally scientist ignore economics which is also a problem with a decline process that means our ability to manage all the other problems will decline and this overall decline will further cause the economics of humans to decline.  It is a vicious circle.

We are carbon trapped so renewables are little more than a short-term techno fix.  Our modern greens are very delusional on this subject.  We also have the modern greens preaching degrowth that is delusional because systematically globalism must grow or is comes apart.  Degrowth will crash the economic system that powers our ability to mitigate the predicament of being path dependent and carbon trapped.  We are clearly in a paradigm of decline on all levels.  Even intelligence is splintering into unwise areas of noise that actually lower overall intelligence because of the corruption of quality intelligence.

Behavior is the key and proper behavior accepts we are in a decline process.  Proper behavior can be reached through Kubler Roth.  Once we are at acceptance than proper behavior can be adapted and then and only then can techno solutions be applied.  This also means the destructive change of degrowthing can be embraced.  Degrowth means abandonment, dysfunctional, and irrational.  Degrowth must be part of the process once behavior has been adapted.  Degrowth and techno solutions then are applied in a proactive way to adapt and mitigate to decline once acceptance of failure is reached.  This means embracing decline with science and engineering but also education and leadership.  This would be like an organized retreat where an army has a flexible withdrawal in force.  If we do not get proactive and begin retreat the decline process could become like a disorganized route.

Of course, the above is just mind games because we are path dependent in the bigger picture.  Common agreement is not there.  We are in competitive cooperation in the big picture which means we tolerate each other to allow survival but we continue to try to overcome our neighbors.  There are no solutions at this level and there can never be with populations at the level it is and with the consumption levels that allow populations to be at this level.  This is a duel force preventing mitigation at the highest levels.  This then means the only place to find solutions is lower down the chain to where humans scale properly and that is some kind of local and small community.

This is where people can change and make a difference but of course only in regards to mitigating and adapting to decline that ultimately will lead to collapse.  The key to all this is behavior that produces a local wisdom that accepts decline and failure.  This then allows a success of sorts that is a local that has increase resilience and sustainability in the face of human and planetary decline.  It means getting out of the denial of death on multiple levels from the personal to the community.  It means lifeboats of techno solutions and hospices of behavioral changes.  The top is gone just as the planet is gone as we once knew it but the local is not.  Restoration can be done to the local in the sense that the natural and the human can be strengthened.  For a cascading decline process over time frame unknown.

The key point here is it must be done in the reality of we are in the Anthropocene of globalism and planetary decline.  You can’t leave globalism and expect to have the resources to power a stronger local.  You will have to utilize dirty behavior of human growth to leave it.  This means a hybrid of using energy intensity to get to where you can live low carbon.  Yes, low carbon is not economic but it the only salvation for the decline process.  So, you build a low carbon life with energy intensity of modern life.  You do this dirty activity to leave it.  You do it relatively and with an advanced behavior that requires strength of being in a twilight zone.

This twilight zone is the surreal of embracing a world you are trying to leave.  To do this one must be practical, flexible, and honest.  You realize there is no hope at the top and with the future of our status quo but you know you can make yourself stronger and more resilient for this process locally.  This is a green prepping.  It is embracing the planets current ecological cycle of succession.  This is non-negotiable and there are no other planets to go to.  We are trapped and the only way out of the trap is to live within it.  Use carbon to go low carbon.  Adapt behavior to low carbon.  Accept death all around and through that create a rebirth of new life that will come from death.  This is how nature operates so emulate it.

Let’s REAL Green Greta

Let’s be fair to Greta whether she is genuine or a stooge, it is likely her generation that will experience the worst of what is ahead.  If only climate change were the problem.  In fact, climate change may not be the worst immediate problem but that is what FAKE Greens want us to believe.  They want us to believe that there are techno solutions if and only if we employ them.  This means both employing and taking away.  Yes, both so called green growth and green degrowth are touted as what will save us if we would only follow messages like Greta’s.

 

Honest science that is not myopic with climate specialization, will notice that the trap we are in is both carbon and path dependent.  The carbon trap is obvious to honest science.  Renewables show no evidence of having what it takes to replace fossil fuels and maintain the status quo.  Honest science points to the fact that renewables appear unable to grow large enough to eclipse fossil fuels let alone replace and self-replicating more renewables when they old wear out.  There is also the inconvenient fact that the climate system has probably already been forced into a new paradigm with system-initiated carbon changes meaning human intervention at this point may be too late.  The path dependencies relate to the fact we are trapped in behaviors and system that got us here.  We may be able to change around the edges but a new system is likely only after the collapse of the current.  Globalism that produces so much to support for overshoot of population and consumption has no alternative and cannot be greened up.  The basis of globalism is energy intensity of value chains, transport and economies of scale based upon consumption these support large populations both in mega cities and rural areas.

 

So, the climate argument is trapped in physics and economics.  Economics is behavior based so how do you model irrational human behavior?  This then goes to the heart of the issue of the message of Greta and its legitimacy.  She is not acknowledging failure as she should.  I she acknowledged failure and then said we must build life boats and hospices then she would be a true enigma rising above the tired human narratives of perpetual growth by whatever it takes.  She could say that renewables are vital in extending out pain and suffering and degrowth is also vital in cutting out the fat that is waste.  We need to quit bad behavior based growth immediately but doing so is self-destructive to globalism.  She could say we need to choose polices that are proactive and preparatory for collapse and by doing that this ensure collapse will happen.  This shut door is because once you pass through that door there is no turning back.  Once growth policies green or brown are adapted to proactive and preparatory for collapse then globalism will end and with that overshoot will have to adjust to a level of stability far lower.  This assures pain, suffering, and death.

 

With economic abandonment comes irrational and dysfunctional of the forces of mathematical chaos IOW cascading destructive change has no modeling to determine the outcome.  What would be needed is coordinated constructive change to adapt and mitigate this like emergency maneuvers are for a controlled crash.  Greta can’t go there because she does not believe that nor do her handlers.  This is not an acceptable message by the FAKE Green establishment and of course from the Brown Denialist.  Failure is not an option at these levels.  A message that disruptive of the status quo cannot be gone to.  It is ok to talk about green solutions and even some green degrowth but you can’t talk about failure from collapse.

 

Greta deserves to get angry but she should study up on Kubler Roth and realize she is still stuck in the first 3 stages.  This FAKE Green movement of techno solutions and sweetened degrowth fantasies will end in depression and once the acceptance part shows its head so much will have been wasted on the bargaining.   Unfortunately, that is human nature so let’s just say Greta deserves to be angry and deserves to learn from her mistakes.  Old 55-year-old people like me did the same and this is part of the reason we are where we are at.  Some mistakes are to big to fix.  Modern globalism is one of them.