REAL Green & Travel

Well, as usual with these articles (see below) it is all about technology.  There is not much on behavior except maybe a carbon voucher of sorts.  Vouchers are just like Band-Aids that come off in the water of reality.  They work a little but the real healing process comes from being careful with the wound.  The tech ideas are nothing new.  It is more like many of these examples mentioned will likely become a niche player.  There is nothing affordable on the horizon to replace mass travel.  All options suffer the same problems as all other tech that try to replace fossil fuels and that is net energy, on demand power, and storage issues.  Nothing new with all this tech and with all the usual FAKE Green ideas of how we will keep the status quo going.  Same FAKE Green wild forecasts of the situation in 2050.  Same shit and no reality testing of actual situation of the boundary to human activity.  We are in the neighborhood of peak everything but are in continued denial of this reality.  You know limits are around 2050 or 2100 not in a few years for technophiles.

What about behavior?  Just say no.  My wife is in Italy now seeing her mom.  I stayed home.  She is a little disappointed in me because I didn’t go.  I hate travel anymore.  I don’ like leaving the farm because so much I do needs daily attention.  You can’t find good help and it is expensive to have someone watch the place.  Jet lag sucks and going somewhere interferes with my routine that I feel makes me stronger and Greener.  That is the selfish side of why I have said no to travel.  It is easier for me than others and I acknowledge this.  My REAL Green side says no because I am pursing localization in a relative way.  I have family pressures that force me to travel or I would rarely fly.  So I say no when I can to a point then I give in.  To be fair to the young I have seen the world so the young should be given a chance at education travel but this should be structured to be Greener.  Too many young just do joyrides today instead of being educated. A trip to China to learn a skill is something.  I trip to backpack around not so much.  One way to travel is VR with google earth.  I tried that the other day on the kids VR and it was amazing.  Yea like the kids need all these electronics but that is another topic.

Instead of a vacation every year go every 3rd year.  If you are one of these FAKE Green academics or scientific activists then see the writing on the wall that all those trips to FAKE Green meetings are a waste of time.  You are talking about the same things over and over with the same results.  Sometimes that is called insanity.  We know what works and what doesn’t already.  What works best is lower consumption.  These FAKE Greens think it is ok to do all this travel but it isn’t.  They could do the every 3rd year travel effort to address lower consumption.  To be fair these FAKE Greens are better than the rich elite who travel as a way of life on private jets.  My family has one and they know my opinion of it.  The solution to this issue is stop trying to make the status quo work by new ways and just adapt the status quo.  There are many that represent vital travel people.  There are many that have skills that translate into more efficiency and travel leverages this.  Some travel actually makes life more sustainable and resilient.  These people need to be recognized as high value skilled people that should fly.

There is the systematic side of adapting travel.  We could realize a lot of savings to our sustainability and resilience ledger but the consequences are unemployment and lower economic activity caused by reducing the travel and leisure industry.  Going into an era of decline we have to be very careful about the pace of economic abandonment of degrowth both forced by circumstances and also managed behavior.  Our system is a high performance and complicated machine in a complex human ecosystem.  Bright ideas often don’t result in real life benefits. 

Degrowth is coming by forces of nature and hopefully our own realization that tech alone cannot make us sustainable.  Degrowth also is taking us into a new paradigm that man has not been to in recent history.  This means changes are ahead that we won’t understand fully by our status quo thinking.  It is obvious the 300% to 700% forecast in the article is bogus.  I see a meaningful decline coming soon how steep that may be is not well know because a lot depends on how decline affects globalism systematically.  How poor will we become once decline affects all aspects of life?  Population will continue to grow even if people start dying more because of that growth.  That is the nature of population and demographics.  Economics is a little different because of human nature.  What we need to do is address the human behavior side of the equation going forward.  Instead FAKE Greens will tell us all about electric flight and Zeppelins.  Ye Ha sounds like fun on paper.  The reality is it is mostly pain and sacrifice ahead.

“How will we travel the world in 2050?”

Hybrid Solar and Grid for home

I have 12 x 300watt panels tied to a 48Volt 220 system batteries and inverter.  I cannot sell excess power back to the grid.  Yesterday I gathered 11KW of power.  I did this because the house was cooled with my Daiken inverter zone climate control system.  I have 4 wall units in different areas.  This is basically a very efficient A/C unit and my home is very well insulated.  I can also use an air handler to transfer cold air off the concrete floor from my bottom split level floor that is 5 foot in the ground.  This utilizes the cool ground to cool the upstairs. 

I did all this manually.  Each one of my home breakers is connected to a transfer switch so depending on needs and the weather I can switch different circuits to solar or grid to get maximum gathering.  If the clouds move in I come back to the house to switch some usage off.  The high draw items like oven, water heater, and cloths dryer are grid tied.  Of course I can line dry in the summer.  The electric water heater is a backup unit to my wood boiler.   If power goes out I have propane gas backup to cook with or charcoal grill.  The point I am making here is demand management can be done very inexpensively by somebody that is at home during the day.  It takes active engagement with energy usage (demand management).  I realize many people must leave their home during the day to work but those who don’t can do this manual demand management inexpensively. 

I also believe in a hybrid system of grid and solar supplied power.  This allows a homeowner to tie up less money in a home system because of the flexibility.  Grid power is cheaper than the cost of my solar system depreciated out over time.  I have done the numbers.  It is possible that one day grid power might get expensive if this happens I might have cheaper power from my solar system.  I also have a wood boiler with the added adaptation of solar water heating in the summer so I don’t need to heat water with wood.  This system is tied to an electric water heater.  The water coming into the water heater is preheated by the boiler system.  In the winter when I am heating the house the system can be switched to be all wood boiler heated water.  I have all LED lighting.  I ask my wife to use high draw on hot water when the sun is good in the summer.  In the winter I don’t care because the wood boiler heating the home always has a fire.  The wood boiler can be shut off in the winter and the home heated with electric tied to the grid if I go away for a day or two.  I can also run my inverter with solar on heat mode in winter.  I can use selected electric heat units with low draw in the winter if I get an exceptional sunny clear winter day.

During the day I maximize my gathering of solar energy.  I go all grid power at night.  I have my batteries at maximum charge for longevity but also in case of power failure.  We don’t use much power at night anyway.  The ingredients for success in this demand management system is manual switching of a hybrid grid and solar system.  It starts with a very well insulated home and good power usage behavior.  This kind of system adapts the best of solar and the grid for lower cost.  I also hope that eventually the grid is greener so when I use the grid I am actually also utilizing some green sources.  The solar system with batteries is a must from a prepper in my opinion as an added benefit.

“Companies explore how to make your home smart and 100% renewable-powered”     renewable energy world

“After he moved into a new home in 2013, he installed 23 photo-voltaic panels on the roof capable of generating 5.3 kilowatts of power, about enough for his family of four. Lightsource BP added a battery to store the electricity the panels generate, an inverter which can be programmed to dispatch the stored electrons when needed, and a diverter to send surplus power to heat the water in his tank.  Hill controls this kit, which he estimates cost about $13,000, with an app that gives real time information. So he could be camel-riding in Mongolia and the technology will still know the best time to generate power in his England home and charge the battery. At night, when the solar panels are effectively useless, the battery can juice-up his electric car. “The main aim is to use everything we generate within the home,” Hill, wearing a dark green shirt with a windmill on it, said over a cup of tea in his kitchen. “So anything that goes from the PV to the grid is a wasted opportunity that we can save money on.”

“For anyone with less interest in tinkering with their day-to-day power use, Lightsource BP is offering to take control. The company specializes in efficiently generating Hill’s own electricity so he doesn’t produce any surplus which can only be sold to the grid at discounted prices. And ensures he doesn’t end up buying more expensive fossil fuel-generated power.  When the customer moves around the house, the artificial intelligence box learns patterns, like when a person works from home, or is on vacation, with the purpose of closely matching electricity generation with in-house consumption. It can do things like predict the next day’s weather, detect individual appliances, collect data on how often and at what times they are used, and help produce a greater share of the power at home.”

REAL Green Reality and FAKE Green Whining

There are some things that can be done.  Some things are being done and many things are not being done.  This planetary situation is not going to be adapted much from the human point of view.  This is because the urge to populate is beyond much control and the drive to being affluent and comfortable is not being confronted.  Fake Greens are honest about the climate science but not the solutions.  They think it is about investment decisions and the right tech.  We need to end fossil fuels they say and go carbon neutral.  The science of doing this is not honest.  It is not even close.  This individual wants his cake and eat it.  Peace on earth, fairness, and more happiness without fossil fuels but more comfort.  These things don’t add up.  The blame game is everywhere with no accountability.

 Pointing the fingers at the 1% by a 1% is hypocrisy.  Everyone reading these words is a type of 1%.  An aboriginal in the jungle is a TRUE Green none of us are.  The minute you turn on your devise and read theses words you are in a way guilty.  Sure, there are psychopathic trends in the rich and powerful but not really as a group.  The system allows it so some do it.  Any of you can instantly be rich and these rich poor.  This is a systematic condition of overshoot.  It is about a self-organizing force of a civilization of intelligent humans seeking survival and happiness.  No different than our ancestors but what is different is the tools within our reach.  What is also different than in the past is we have been delocalized and now are helpless to live differently in aggregate.  Some can make the effort to live differently but not much.  Globalism has meant comfort and high populations but also loss of freedom to live differently.  We are prevented by choices and fate.  Our choices are surviving economically or be consumed by a system and become destitute.   Fate is being delocalized. 

Fake greens will whine about the planet being ruined by fossil fuels as they use tech and talk about tech that has a fossil fuel basis at lunches that were brought to them via fossil fuels.  This is all brought to them via a basically high energy civilization which can only run on messy energy, tech, and resource exploitation that come from such a large and consumptive population locked in economies of scale and comparative advantage.  Fake green individuals should be talking about efforts we can make for when nature ends this process.  This is ahead because honest science tells us this.  We can mitigate and adapt but most will not or cannot.  We won’t for many reasons because we compete to be better than others and we cooperate to allow others to do what we want to do within a frame work of laws.  Until procreation has draconian rules and consumption is rationed out in a draconian way any other approach will fail. 

Talking about what is not possible over and over is insanity.  Instead you acknowledge what is wrong and accept what must be done.  This is not to say we should not leave fossil fuels as best we can.  We should also build out as much efficiency and renewable energy as we can but be honest about what we can do.  Man should know his limitations.  He should be honest about his footprint.  He should be strong enough to face pain, suffering, and death that is inevitable for many.  Instead we pursue comfort and pleasure in the here and now and read about these horrible things with our morning coffee and then go about our business.  If you were to dwell on this issue of planetary destruction you risk going mad.  If you are in a trap with a predicament that is beyond fixing then you adapt and mitigate as a life system. 

We also have those who make a living on this.  Our modern-day journalist makes a living on talking about these tragedies and fantasies.  Climate people have careers based upon these discussions.  This is hardly a real solution with flying and driving to seminars and conventions to talk about what cannot be fixed.  This is where wisdom comes in.  Wisdom in this situation says the best one can do is adapt locally and individually and hope this effort will gain support in one’s immediate environment.  It is also true those who are gifted with leadership can make large impacts on bigger levels but nobody is going to change this situation until a power of fate and reality steps in.  Fate and reality work at different levels of time and space.  The planet and the web of life may adapt and change because of what we have done but not in our life time.  We may have initiated a hot house world who knows in that case the time and space are actually space time as in a new planet eon from now somewhere among the billions of stars. 

REAL Green & Socialism

It is my opinion that REAL Green applications ultimately can reach the level of small local communities.  I am doing REAL Green individually.  I do reach out locally but I almost never explain what I am doing in detail.  Most of my neighbors would not understand this way of thinking.  For them much of what I do is natural for where I live.  Animals, wood, hay, and a well running farm is normal.  The environmental activity well that is for the hunting effort.  So, I am somewhat camouflaged to my true motivations which are REAL Green Deep Adaptation for a coming decline by embracing less and living locally.  This is done relatively with the understanding the status quo must be leveraged to achieve your goals. 

Ultimately it will take a community to realize strong REAL Green results.  What I am doing is not economic in the status quo.  Electricity is cheaper than wood if looked at from strictly a cost approach with labor and material.  Hay is cheaper done by big operators and purchased.  Animals cannot be raised with small stocking rates and expected to provide you a living.  My REAL Green approach to life must have an income source.  Many can do this by having one or more members of the family working a status quo job.  I am retired living off my investments from when I was “status quo”.  If you want to live a life with modern benefits you have to remain attached to the status quo. 

Where this might be improved upon is a community based effort that would embrace  “communitarian-traditionalist-socialist alliance”.  People of like mind in locals can come together socialistically and realize a REAL Green life.  The reality of the situation is if you are going to go low carbon and low ecological footprint efficiently it has to be local and community based.  It has to have a socialistic tendencies to operate efficiently.  What this means is a ordering of activity without the extreme profit motive and the hyper capitalistic approach of private property.  There has to be shared efforts, gift economy, and barter involved.  There must also be a social order with shared leadership that has a hint of authoritarianism.  We can look to the Amish to see how they have managed to maintain their lifestyles. 

If you are going to lower your footprint there are consequences.  Some can go as individuals into a TRUE Green way of life.  The consequences are a very meager life that only works in certain settings for example a very rural life that allows one to live off the land.  For most this is not practical.  I could have chosen this way of life but I would not be able to take my family with me.  It would have been a solitary living alone.  That was not practical for me.  Some might be able to manage this and I salute them because they are closer to TRUE Green.  An alternative for those who have been awakened to planetary decline and see through FAKE Green of the rich liberal establishment the alternative is a REAL Green community embracing socialism at the grass roots level not at the top where socialism is basically just another wealth transfer Ponzi scheme.

“Local Socialism and Civil Society”     resiliance

“I am not suggesting some grand communitarian-traditionalist-socialist alliance here, at least not without a great deal of careful theoretical exploration and clear limitations (some of which I’ve attempted in the past, under the title “left conservatism”). However, I am insisting that advocates of democratic socialism hurt themselves in the realm of political debate, and misunderstand themselves in the realm of ideas, when they present socialism as too universal, and too rational, to ever be republican in the classic sense: that is, attentive to the res publica, to people where they live.”

REAL Green Doom

I don’t know what to think anymore.  A few years after 08 and the pseudo recovery I was a little stunned.  Look where we are over 10 years later and still ticking.  I become stunned in 15 with how the traditional peak oil message was dead and immediate financial doom a boy crying wolf.  I call current growth pseudo because this recovery is really just wealth transfer disenfranchisement.  Personally I think real aggregate growth that has value is negative.  Sure China built vast amounts and markets are way up in the west.   To me much of what we have today is malinvestment that can never make the return these investments are supposed to.  We have monstrous unfunded liabilities everywhere with the wrong type of demographics.  The poor of the world that are young can never make this up.  The ever growing young are part of the problem.  At some point overpopulation is a negative and we are there.   Taken together all this is a huge systematic farce. 

I had done some radical adaptation for this 08 event I saw coming.  I began preparing for it in 05.  I was fully onboard as a peaker and once the CB interventions occurred I somewhat radicalized.  I became stunned as shale change the peaker debate and as the CB intervention grew feet.  This CB interventionism has impressed me from the point of view of just how well it has managed to keep the global economy going.  This is everywhere also with the US, China, and Europe in on it.  The EM’s are riding this wave too.  It has changed the world radically but more like a frog boiling than a phoenix. 

The only thing I can compare it to is a Ponzi scheme retirement party.  I mean where the hell do we go from here?  The debt levels everywhere except maybe Russia are in the stratosphere.  Russia ain’t shit without the rest of world being healthy.  It is almost like MMT will be inevitable although the socialistic paradise is a farce.  The neo socialist pretend all it takes is money for prosperity.  They think the rich have real money.  This is not the case because most of the money the rich have is digital.  Most debt is bad debt.  The rich own the debt and it value is not real.  Nations have debt that is not real.  The individual with debt as their life is becoming more and more difficult.  Much of the collateral backing most of the global debt is compromised or nonexistent.  This is one big farce. 

I see things continuing to slowly decline until we either stop cooperating in cold or hot wars or a black swan disrupts confidence enough that a Minsky moment occurs where the individual stops the economic activity by ending his participation in the game.  Liquidity is the name of the game and real liquidity is peoples trust.  Hyperinflation could be the result too.  At some point people will stop believing in fiat currency.  There is not enough gold to matter.  Crypto currencies cannot cover the whole currency spectrum.  A cashless society is not possible everywhere. 

I have no clue what is coming other than like with energy we are in decline and consequences of that decline will not be pleasant especially considering the current pissed off human behavior of people everywhere always expecting more and getting less.  I have been watching the financial side of doom now daily for years.  I am too the point of scratching my head dumbfounded and in amazement.  How long can this shit go on?  How long can bubbles inflate and be controlled?  How long can the deception be propagated?  This is lies built on lies.  It is even more horrifying because the fate of billions rests on a string of lies.

The NEW Green Revolution & REAL Green

The referenced article at the end of my discussion is on my favorite topic of REAL Green Deep Adaptation and the fake green trend in society.  Basically we have very intelligent people that are deceived as well as unintelligent that are being deceived by techno optimist wonders.  In the process these techno optimist are discarding the earth because they feel we are moving off of it in the future with space colonization and space based mining.  It is also a fake green narrative that we can be green and more affluent for those who still see hope for the planet with a new green harmony.  Natural harmony is not consistent with human complexity.  This is the deepest of FAKE green deceptions.

A great point made in this article is power maximization that is the dominant social narrative of globalism is the wrong impulse for society.  This is what is driving globalism.   This is a duel force of human nature with the competitive nature of human groups but also the cooperative impulse of increased shared affluence.  The power of this force is beyond management.  It is highly resilient but with brittle bifurcation points once the criticality of degrowth is reached.  So we have humans turning to maximum power principal to satisfy our competitive/cooperative urges of liberal democracy and market based capitalism in the face of global and planetary decline. 

What we should instead being doing is energy efficiency and conserving.  This means less competition in the name of more natural security plus a change in what we perceive as a cooperative namely increasing shared affluence.  Instead we should be choosing degrowth principals as forces to combat the destruction of the planetary web and earth systems.  This is then a shared understanding of less affluence not more.  These principals would have to first be behaviorally based with broad based education.  A crisis may deliver these ideas but unfortunately a crisis may be too late.  We would have to compete less through cooperation based actions centered on degrowth.  This than becomes the new dominant myth that drives our social narratives eclipsing the current corrupted liberal democracy and market based capitalist version.  Our smartest people must drive this message in unanimity so our political and economic leaders get the message.  Currently our smartest people are fake green techno optimist except a very few awakened ones.  This means there is science denial by our brightest in regards to solutions.  This is perfect for the status quo because it allows politician to make phony pitches that will make things great again and industrial leaders have a new economic growth avenue.

This article is preaching New Green.  This is a macro version of REAL Green.  REAL Green is local and individual in Deep Adaptation because it has come to the conclusion the top cannot change because of the self-organization of the system of globalism.  Globalism may adapt with increased competition of regions in a new multipolar reality both political and economic.  This is still competitive cooperation but with an adapted version with nationalism and regionalism in a balance of power basis. 

REAL Green says human behavior is flawed in its global overpopulation of a highly complex civilization.  This condition is not scaled properly so poor behavior is inevitable.  The power principal will always win in these situations because humans are deceived by techno optimism both the smart and the low intelligence masses.  It is not allowed to have a negative pessimistic narrative.  This is not a rule it is a disposition.  Pessimistic realism not only does not sell with the general public but our system of academia and scientific publication process does not accommodate such thinking.  If it is allowed it is mainly as material for critiques on why techno optimism is the future. 

This then means REAL Green is the way to adapt to a deeply flawed world individually and locally.  This means focusing on small groups locally to adapt to a global complex civilization in decline that cannot change.  This can mean small groups on the internet sharing ideas but the expression of real green is local and individual.  REAL Green is not for everyone.  REAL Green is for those awakened to decline.  It is for those who can practice Deep Adaptation of a collapsing world.  Many cannot and most will not be awakened to it.  You adapt to this condition by coopting it for your individual and local.  You use the status quo to leave it. You yield to greater powers and at the same time harness these greater powers as individual energy to create a better life boat for the coming decline.  This means relative sacrifice for the planet.  Some things you will do will not be green but the overall impulse is REAL Green.  It is also about hospices which is the preparations for death both of a way of life and increasingly of you and yours. e

“The New Green Revolution, a.k.a. The Grand Transition to… ?? – Part I”     LIFEITSELF

“Dr. Nate Hagens uses Hawking’s ideas about Mars colonization in his Reality 101 course at the University of Minnesota to illustrate the point that human society is composed of tiny islands of high competence floating in a vast sea of narratives.”

“The nature of intelligence, expertise, reductionism, IQ, etc. seem greatly skewed these days in favor of quasi-idiot-savant experts who are lifted into prominence by being apparently right about some very narrow slice of reality.  There’s currently not much status which attaches to synthesis, because synthesis is antithetical to most extremely stimulating beliefs about reality and the future. And this won’t change anytime soon. We are left with a choice between offering a bummer message nobody really wants to hear, versus crafting a message that has utility to move society toward chosen goals.”

“A vulnerable world,” where Jorge argues that one cannot be a consistent positivist, if one is not prepared to treat the Earth as a disposable planet, only to escape to the Cosmos later. This escape temptation is expressed by a more ample and complex “anthropofuge” movement, a movement of flight from the human condition that we must take seriously, and which we have to resist.  So beware of this murderous cosmic narrative that justifies Gaiacide”

“This means they don’t bother to do work all the time and are less energy demanding. This is what I imagine the preindustrial way of life to be like. It is not as power maximizing and is more energy efficient and conserving. What I believe we need to be doing is comparing the energy systems of different types of human civilization—the endothermic and the ectothermic—and stop asking which endothermic way of life is most efficient.”  In translation, if we want to live in more harmony with nature or be more “sustainable,” we must behave more like the ectothermic animals and slow down at times.  Says me, a creature that  incessantly works on something around the clock, including evenings and weekends.”

“By the way, I really try hard not to hallucinate.  In Part II, I will show you how naive it is to think than the “New Green Deal” will allow us to continue our current lifestyles, just by other greener means. This, my friends in the developed, power and resource hogging countries is impossible.”

REAL Green & Degrowth

My REAL Green has come to the same conclusion as the referenced  article.  What we are facing and what will achieve a degree of results in regards to our many predicaments are beyond technology.  Wind, solar, and storage combined with EV’s is not going to save us. It can’t because the issue is growth itself and more precisely how we live.  Degrowth is essential to solving our many predicaments but this must be a managed degrowth.  This degrowth must be a combination of triage of bad aspects of the current growth paradigm and a hybridization of globalism and localism.  Some aspects of our civilization must remain global.  Some of the manufacturing and trade is essentially only efficient at the global level.  If we want to retain a degree of modernity then some globalism must remain a feature of this.  Then there is a movement to localism with less affluence at least in regards to consumption.  This does not have to be the case with the wealth a strong community can realize  but let’s be honest materially localism will offer less. 

This will in a sense mean a two-tier social structure with a technical and energy intensive sector and a lower energy local sector engaged in the gathering of solar energy from the land.  Solar and wind may be part of this but so will intermittency and lower power potency.  The important point is the local will have to be supported and protected from the inevitable inequalities of a global intensive structure.  The fact remains certain aspects of our modernism must have economies of scale, comparative advantage, global transport, and global capital.  If we can greatly reduce what is part of these global attributes then we can realize some degrowth.  So, the vital degrowth needed will be achieved by taking a significant amount of people out of the global network and place them in a localized setting.  This means a degree of control many may not be ready for.  It means some will have the privilege of movement and other forced to stay local.  This means the whole nature of capitalism and liberal democracy of individualism and freedom of choice will be upended. 

This points to the fallacy of the current wave of liberal and socialistic green new deals being discussed as our solution to extinction and so forth.  These platforms push an agenda of affluence with modernism.  They want growth but camouflage it as clean green growth.  Technology is front and center to this as well as sustainable equitable development.  This is wrong as a paradigm of successful change.  It may be better than unfettered market-based capitalism for most but it is still a failure in regards to the reality of the predicaments we are facing.  The net result will just be a wealth transfer arrangement to those behind greens and away from those not.  You may think that is fine but it really isn’t in the end.  What it in effect turns out to be is an elaborate lie that we can transform society into a clean green arrangement with growth. What happens is the same failures of growth and a new aristocracy.

Technology is not the answer but it is part of the solution.  Telling people they can have affluence and change is not correct.  People must realize we can only have change with sacrifice.  Degrowth which is the only solution to our predicaments means less affluence and less choices.  It means a majority of the global population must be localized in less affluent arrangements.  If the vital parts of modernity can be maintained like networks, storehouses of knowledge, and infrastructure there must be a group who can produce and maintain these structures.  This means two tier way of life.  Deciding who is allowed to be in what tier and where one get placed in his local is the devil in the detail.  Who will volunteer and who will be forced? 

This points to our last predicament and that is of human behavior itself.  If a two-tier world focused on significant degrowth is the only way forward then can we change our collective behavior to allow these kinds of change. This means draconian changes with forced change.  It means consequences that are not going to be fully understood.   There will be those who lose and many may lose everything.  That is the nature of consequences.  There is no easy way forward.  I do not think we are up to this and this is why my REAL Green is about deep adaptation.  Adapt locally and utilize the status quo to leave it while it is still robust and in charge.  The current system cannot last but while it does go local but use the status quo to make your local the best it can be.  This is a kind of acknowledgement of the failure of human behavior at the collective level that is leveraged to create a successful human behavior locally.  Both market-based capitalism and the green new deal of clean technology and growth is a failure.  These two systems will both compete and stall in the trenches of economic and social warfare.  This is what happens when the pie is shrinking and the chairs are pulled away, stalemate.

“A globalised solar-powered future is wholly unrealistic – and our economy is the reason why”     the conversation

“So the first thing we should redesign are the economic ideas that brought fossil-fueled technology into existence and continue to perpetuate it. “Capitalism” ultimately refers to the artefact or idea of all-purpose money…The policies designed to protect the environment and promote global justice have not curbed the insidious logic of all-purpose money – which is to increase environmental degradation as well as economic inequalities…In order to accomplish economic “degrowth” and curb the treadmill of capital accumulation, we must transform the systemic logic of money itself.  National authorities might establish a complementary currency, alongside regular money, that is distributed as a universal basic income but that can only be used to buy goods and services that are produced within a given radius from the point of purchase…Re-localising the bulk of the economy in this way does not mean that communities won’t need electricity, for example, to run hospitals, computers and households. But it would dismantle most of the global, fossil-fuelled infrastructure for transporting people, groceries and other commodities around the planet.  This means decoupling human subsistence from fossil energy and re-embedding humans in their landscapes and communities…Solar power will no doubt be a vital component of humanity’s future, but not as long as we allow the logic of the world market to make it profitable to transport essential goods halfway around the world. The current blind faith in technology will not save us. For the planet to stand any chance, the global economy must be redesigned. The problem is more fundamental than capitalism or the emphasis on growth: it is money itself, and how money is related to technology.” cerun:yes’>>��2��$

REAL Green Mentality & Lifestyle

There are two aspects to my REAL Green Deep Adaptation.  One is the hardware and energy side of a hybrid energy gathering effort combined with efficiency and conservation.  The other is the behavioral side of adapting and mitigating decline.  On the behavioral side the emphasis is on systems dynamics as a guide to a collapse process.  There is the physics of collapse which is available across the web in multiple site locations.  There is no shortage to the science of collapse.  How to deal with collapse is less straight forward and often sensationalized and extreme.  REAL Green Deep Adaptation starting point is individual and local.  This does not mean uninformed and withdrawn, quite the contrary.  RG stresses proactive research on the process as a daily exercise.  Know what is happening in the greater world but keep local perspective.  Far too often we get absorbed into global events and lose our way locally. 

RG primary behavioral function is acknowledgement of the collapse process.  This does not mean collapse is inevitable and the reason for this is we are unable to know this with certainty.  It sees a collapse trajectory based upon scientific research.  The time line is unknown and the degree and duration uncertain.  The acknowledgement is more the understanding through systems dynamics that collapse is a normal process in ecosystems.  The positive side of this adaptation is a better life with or without collapse.  Also collapse may visit the younger generation and some of the older generation may never see collapse.  RG says collapse is and always has been a human reality it is just recently the idea has been censored. 

Looking at the human ecosystem we see classic examples of thresholds being approached.  The collapse process found in our current civilization then is a call to action for individual and local adaptation.  This action is twofold with one being the mentality of preparing for collapse and the other is the lifestyle of this effort.  The mentality seeks to incorporate the concept of sapience as the foundation of choosing what to embrace and what not to.  Often it is what not to in this world of overwhelming possibilities that is the most important.  Do not pollute your local and your individuality with clutter.  Cleaning out the deadwood of distractions and unneeded things is a daily exercise which requires emotional sacrifice.  The mentality of deep adaptation is one of relative sacrifice.  This is a condition of living already in a collapsed world and not.  It is about utilizing the status quo that is not collapsed to construct your bulk work against collapse that requires a way of life is collapsed.  It is a collapse in place and beat the rush mentality.  The dignity of this comes from respect, honesty and the resulting meaning.  Relative efforts are key because extreme measures of leaving the status quo will hinder your ability to leave it.  You must navigate a tricky way of life that embraces the status quo because of work, family, and citizenship but also the effort of collapsing in place that is contrary to the social narrative. 

Relative sacrifice also concerns the degree of embrace of conservation and efficiency measures in the cause of planetary health.  RG is planet oriented as a spiritual add on to your higher power but this must be done relatively so one does not upend one’s life in the status quo that supports and nurtures your RG effort.  Relative sacrifice says tailor adaptation efforts around your status quo meaning and individuals.  RG will vary in the degree of effort that maximize the enhancement planetary health.  It is planetary health that is the ultimate basis of an add on to your higher power. IOW your personal power springs from the ground bellow you and the life around you. 

The next step to the mentality of RG is hybridization through salvage and triage.  A RG effort seeks to combine the new and the old ways of living and does this by focusing on salvage efforts of utilizing what you have in new ways.  RG uses triage to eliminate those items that do not have long term use and do not contribute to a RG doomstead.  Some items are out of place in one local but not another.  Rid yourself of play toys but one RG local’s toy is another tools so this effort is relative.  RG says make all your equipment and structures focused on RG efforts.  RG leisure centers on the RG effort and focused on the local.  It is influenced by relative sacrifice so a compromise of sorts is reached.  Your family will push you into travel for leisure but show resistance by pushing local efforts instead. 

In regards to the old ways RG refers to efforts at lifestyles of pre-modern times before fossil fuels and modern machines.  These times were more survival based as RG must be considering our current collapse process.  We have a wealth of new ways and things the key is to triage out those with no future because of low durability and little value to survival in a collapsed world.  Horde those tools and knowledge of both the old and new but use RG wisdom to pick and choose and relative sacrifice to fit this effort into your status quo world. 

RG behavior leads into the bricks and mortar of your RG local.  Locality and individuality is the key here.  There is no set templet for this part of RG.  You are your own expert and your local should be the guide.  Find out what is healthy about your local and enhance it with RG wisdom.  Local efforts mean staying local in relative sacrifice.  Your family and community will push you to leave your local so balance this tension.  Eat and live local is your starting point.  Build a RG monastery both abstract and physical.  A library of knowledge and a shop of tools is the basis of this RG brick and mortar.  It is the brick and mortar that begins the process of harvesting and gathering of low carbon solar energy that is found in both the living and nonliving world. 

“Collapse: The Seneca Strategy”  A Book By Ugo Bardi    doomstead dinner

“My second book on the concept of “Seneca Collapse” (or Cliff, or Ruin, or the like) is nearly completed and it should be available from Springer before the end of the year. It is a sequel to my first book, “The Seneca Effect”, but this second one is thought as more easily readable “trade” book.”

“I used “The Seneca Strategy” as a title because the book focuses on how to deal with collapses rather than on the physics of collapses. It proposes a strategy that’s based on the Stoic view of the world revisited under the lens of system dynamics. It is the idea that you don’t try to force systems to do what you want them to do, a concept that Jay Forrester termed “pushing the levers in the wrong direction.”

“Table of Contents    Six Things You Should Know About Collapse    Collapse: An Introduction    Models of Collapse    Models of the Future: The Russian Roulette    The Limits of Models. Nightfall on Lagash    Why Models are not Believed: The Croesus Syndrome    The Science of Collapse    Complex Systems: The Goddess’ Wrath    The Power of Networks: The Ghost in the Shell    Living and Dying in a Complex Universe. The Story of Amelia the Amoeba.    The Practice of Collapse    The Collapse of Engineered Structures: For Dust you are and to Dust you Will Return    Financial Collapses: Blockbuster goes bust    Natural Disasters: Florence’s Great Flood    Mineral Collapses: The Coming Oil Crisis?    The Seneca Cliff and Human Violence: Fatal Quarrels    Famines, Epidemics, and Depopulation: The Zombie Apocalypse    The Big One: Societal Collapse    Apocalypse: the collapse of the Earth’s ecosystem    Strategies for Managing Collapse    Technological Progress against Collapse. The Cold Fusion Miracle that Wasn’t    Avoiding Overexploitation. Drill, Baby, Drill!    Leadership Against Collapse: The Last Roman Empress    Collapse as a Weapon: The Iago Strategy    Deception as a Strategy: the Camper’s Dilemma    Life After Collapse: The Seneca Rebound    Conclusion: The Seneca Strategy”

FAKE Green EV Menatality

Electric vehicles are Fake Green.  People that drive them often have a cult fake green mentality.  For some reason they feel special to be driving electric.  Driving is the problem and the car culture is what has destroyed the planet and our species.  That said we are where we are and that is a car culture necessary for survival.  Electric vehicles are part of the solution to lowering our foot print if we are also pushing into renewables with vigor.  In many places we are doing this so this makes EV part of the solution.  Hybrids are part of the solution too because they fill many applications well.  Both EV’s, hybrids, and fuel cell technology need to be pushed and ICE vehicles slowly taken from the road.  Most of all our modern consumeristic mobile mentality reshaped instead of adapted with Fake Green fancy shit like EV vehicles.  Most EV are sold to the rich who are the biggest consumers of resources by far green or not. 

The Real Green approach is to go local.  In all fairness this does not work except for some but it should be an option governments around the world are pushing.  Subsidize low footprint lifestyles and green good behavior.  Eco communities could be certified and supported with economic protection.  Eco communities would voluntarily go low tech and simplify.  This means leaving normal life much as monks did in the Middle Ages with the difference being economic and environmental not religious.  Monasteries are a blue print for what these communities would resemble.  Eco communities engage in permaculture even more so.  Many poor in the third world are already there so policies should avoid disrupting what they have and an effort made to keep them from developing into a modern consumer. 

Industrial Ag is something we need to move away from at least partly for a lower foot print and food supply resilience.  Electric with renewable power is part of this.  Tractors can go electric and the greatly reduced transport these eco communities would engage in also electric.  These communities could pack the vehicle with people for multi tasked trips for supplies and sale of goods.  This would be a very low foot print compared to normal people who drive single occupancy vehicles EV or not.  These communities could be powered by renewables off the grid with a lifestyle adapted to intermittency.  Their surplus power if any sold to the grid along with their eco harvested food production. 

EV’s do not make you green.  Most EV’s are fossil fuel charged to some extent because the grid is not green.  This whole EV thing is in some ways a farce but they are trying and it is better than Trump Orange or Conservative brown that are anti-green and mainly profit oriented.  Real Green is planet oriented first.  We all know these activities have to make a return.  Wolves don’t survive if their rabbit catch was more effort than the meal gives. This is where the certification comes in.  An energy audit is needed to allow economic support and protection.  The EV cult mentality needs to be taken from Fake Green to Real Green for those who can and who in their heart want to dedicate their lives to the planet and the web of life.

REAL Green as an Add on

This collapse process is systematic with multiple variables from planetary systems to human networks.  It is global and local.  It is a process and it will be exhibited everywhere without concern to agenda.  Science can tell us some of the details but now we are entering the unknown territory of a decline of a civilization never experienced by humans.  A civilization that is completely planetary including “All” cultures but also a digital nonhuman web.  Our false god, tech, is part of the answer but not a salvation.  Properly used tech will make the gradient less steep.  Tech can also make it worse if we are not careful.  We have to spend the remaining resources and the remaining global economy properly.  Unfortunately we as a global people are malinvesting the future as we approach the cliff.  We likely have some years left because this globalism is so robust.  We have some very potent tech with ambitious people.  There are still plenty of planetary resources to pillage.  What we do not have is wise and awakened people.  Behavior is the key but that is where we are making the least headway.  What we are doing is digging the hole deeper in regards to meaning with corrupted science and human narrative of increasing affluence. 

This is why I promote a Real Green Deep Adaptation.  This is an honest individual response to a force greater than human management.  Stop fighting this process and join it.  Join it means acknowledging decline and beating the rush.  Downsize with dignity which means lowering your footprint through meaning.  Practice relative sacrifice by accepting your place in all this.   Leveraging the power of the status quo to leave it.  Restore personal honesty as you try to restore a healthy nature to your local.  Relinquish the bad of consumerism and except lower affluence.  A natural resilience that comes with localization is the result of these actions.  Add to these actions relative sacrifice which is doing what you can per your unique situation.  This is a key because realistic actions are your best actions.  Ending the bargaining and dishonesty is the very first step.  Modest doom and prep is requires to avoid alienating those in your local.  Extremism of action and proselytizing doom is counterproductive.  Real Green Deep Adaptation calls for honesty of action with modest changes leading to relative change focused on the local level.

Science is a method to meaning but not the only human way to meaning.  This modern method and message are now so corrupted meaning is hidden in the haze.  Real Green science acknowledges the good and bad with honesty.  Leave existential guilt behind and stop pointing fingers in a hypocritical way.  Finger pointing is fine as long as you look in the mirror to what part you are playing in all this in humility and empathy for the bad actions of others.  Relative sacrifice also means relative judgement.  You can’t expect others to change.  This is about personal change.  You can’t blame others and expect that to make it better.  You can look around and point out what is wrong and which parties are dishonest as a map for your life but you can’t take that and play the justified and righteous.  Harness your surroundings and avoid being offended.  Get what you can from what is around you by avoiding the traps of the ego.  If you practice this way of life the planet will give you power.  This power comes directly from meaning.  You cannot use this power for personal means in regards to selfish and egotistical ends.  If you do this you will lose this planetary power.  What is called for is stoic Spartan action for the pain and suffering ahead that is the planetary reality of ecosystems in decline and localized failure.

This is about adding on to your existing higher power and way of life not discarding them.  You can’t completely rewire your basic meaning given you from nature and nurture.  The add-on is adapting what you have with existential honesty of the science of collapse.  The other add on is Real Green action which is a lower foot print by triage.  It is about making something through hybrid action of the old ways combined with current knowledge.  Most of all it is about going local.   The key to a local is finding a local worth making your last stand in.  The ultimate local is your life system so if you can’t leave your failed local then find your strength from within to create a hospice.  Some locals are immediately on the list of failure.  This last stand hints at the last add on and that is the spiritual one.  This spiritual add-on is the honesty of knowing there are no refuges from the coming planetary and human calamities.  This honesty will purify your existing higher power position.  No amount of physical or mental prep will save you.  This acknowledgment of death on its different planes is the final key. 

Not everyone can be awakened and those who are awakened accept the requirement of action.  This awakened state is beyond most humans and it cannot be faulted.  Nature calls on a few that have found a micro climate for growth within the dead zone of modernism.  Real Green Deep Adaptation is for the awakened ones who choose the path to meaning.  Once you have taken this path then you will go forth on the behalf of the planet and others locally.  You will create monasteries of meaning with knowledge and tools for those who come after.  These action create positive organic changes in your immediate natural ecosystem.  This coming global bifurcation could be an extinction event but it might be a new people that negotiate the bottleneck.  Plant the seeds that may lead them to wisdom and a chance for survival.